“If China is not going
to solve North Korea, we will.”
So President Donald Trump warns, amid reports North Korea, in
its zeal to build an intercontinental ballistic missile to hit our West Coast,
may test another atom bomb.
China shares a border with North Korea. We do not.
Why then is this our problem to “solve”? And why is North Korea
building a rocket that can cross the Pacific and strike Seattle or Los Angeles?
Is Kim Jong Un mad?
No. He is targeting us because we have 28,500 troops on his
border. If U.S. air, naval, missile and ground forces were not in and around
Korea, and if we were not treaty-bound to fight alongside South Korea, there
would be no reason for Kim to build rockets to threaten a distant superpower
that could reduce his hermit kingdom to ashes.
While immensely beneficial to Seoul, is this U.S. guarantee to
fight Korean War II, 64 years after the first wise? Russia, China and Japan
retain the freedom to decide whether and how to react, should war break out.
Why do we not?
Would it not be better for us if we, too, retained full freedom
of action to decide how to respond, should the North attack?
During the August 2008 war between Russia and Georgia, despite
John McCain’s channeling Patrick Henry — “We are all Georgians now!” — George
W. Bush decided to take a pass on war. When a mob in Kiev overthrew the
pro-Russian government, Vladimir Putin secured his Sebastopol naval base by
annexing Crimea.
Had Georgia and Ukraine been in NATO, we would have been, in
both cases, eyeball to eyeball with a nuclear-armed Russia.
Which brings us to the point:
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The United States is in rising danger of being dragged into wars
in half a dozen places, because we have committed ourselves to fight for scores
of nations with little or no link to vital U.S. interests.
While our first president said in his Farewell Address that we
might “trust to temporary alliances” in extraordinary emergencies, he added,
“It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion
of the foreign world.”
Alliances, Washington believed, were transmission belts of war.
Yet no nation in history has handed out so many war guarantees to so many “allies”
on so many continents, as has the United States.
To honor commitments to the Baltic States, we have moved U.S.
troops to the Russian border. To prevent China from annexing disputed rocks and
reefs in the South and East China Seas, our Navy is prepared to go to war — to
back the territorial claims of Tokyo and Manila.
Yet, our richest allies all spend less on defense than we, and
all run trade surpluses at America’s expense.
Consider Germany. Last year, Berlin ran a $270 billion trade
surplus and spent 1.2 percent of GDP on defense. The United States ran a $700
billion merchandise trade deficit and spent 3.6 percent of GDP on defense.
Angela Merkel puts Germany first. Let the Americans finance our
defense, face down the Russians, and fight faraway wars, she is saying; Germany
will capture the world’s markets, and America’s as well.
Japan and South Korea are of like mind. Neither spends nearly as
much of GDP on defense as the USA. Yet, we defend both, and both run endless
trade surpluses at our expense.
President Trump may hector and threaten our allies that we will
not forever put up with this. But we will, because America’s elites live for
the great game of global empire.
What would a true “America First” foreign policy look like?
It would restore to the United States the freedom it enjoyed for
the 150 years before NATO, to decide when, where and whether we go to war. U.S.
allies would be put on notice that, while we are not walking away from the
world, we are dissolving all treaty commitments that require us to go to war as
soon as the shooting starts.
This would concentrate the minds of our allies wonderfully. We
could cease badgering them about paying more for their defense. They could
decide for themselves — and live with their decisions.
In the Carter era, we dissolved our defense pact with Taiwan.
Taiwan has survived and done wonderfully well. If Germany, Japan and South
Korea are no longer assured we will go to war on their behalf, all three would
take a long hard look at their defenses. The result would likely be a
strengthening of those defenses.
But if we do not begin to rescind these war guarantees we have
handed out since the 1940s, the odds are high that one of them will one day
drag us into a great war, after which, if we survive, all these alliances will
be dissolved in disillusionment.
What John Foster Dulles called for, over half a century ago, an
“agonizing reappraisal” of America’s alliances, is long, long overdue.