Would conservatives
achieve an easy victory against the left if it came down to civil
war? The question seems less absurd by the day as tensions increase
between the right and left. Many conservative writers seem to think
the left would fold quickly and the right would triumph.
One has good reason to doubt
that. Consider basic issues like political bias in universities, or
religious integrity. After decades of exposés and outcries from
conservatives over liberal tyranny, universities are as biased as they ever
were. Past cases of anti-conservative persecution (including mine)
remain unaddressed.
Meanwhile,
in the world of Masterpiece Cakeshop,
conservatives celebrate a largely toothless victory at the Supreme Court over a
wedding cake for two men. While a small fortune went to defending a
Colorado pastry chef who wouldn't make a cake for a ceremony approximating a
wedding, a dozen states have banned "conversion therapy" in terms so
broad that many church ministries will be outlawed.
The
LGBT movement is no longer worried about taking over state legislatures to stop
religious liberty laws. Soon they won't have to do
that. They are gaining in power at the denominational governance
level of Christian churches andchanging
doctrine so religious liberty will not even be an
issue. The religious position itself will be so thoroughly corrupted
that no Christians will have "deeply felt" convictions against homosexuality.
I am nowhere near as confident as Kurt
Schlichter that the right wing could trounce the left wing in
battle. We can't even unite to keep Alex Jones on
Facebook. It is true that conservatives have more guns and are
probably better street fighters. But conservatives also cave in
large numbers even when their most sacred cows are in danger – such as the
First Amendment or Christian principles. The two latter issues sit
at the core of academic bias and debates on sexuality,
respectively. I have the war wounds from both battles and can attest
to the repeating scenario: conservatives talk and talk about what they believe
and how bad the left is. Then they give up droves when it comes time
to fight.
Take
the question of defending the gospel. We hear constant sermons from
Christian preachers that speak of standing by God's word even in the face of
popular criticism. In anticipation of the Southern Baptist
Convention's annual meeting, I spent months searching for people be willing to
sign on to a resolution affirming Christian sexual ethics and supporting
churches' rights to offer counseling in defiance of laws like California's
"stay gay" bill. Almost sixteen million Americans claim to
be Southern Baptists. I could not find a single person willing to
back the resolution. When I submitted it under my own name, it was
killed in committee and never brought to the floor.
Consider,
as well, the special election for Alabama's Senate seat in December
2017. That may feel like ancient history, but it was less than a
year ago. Doug Jones was a radically pro-abortion and
pro-homosexuality Democrat endorsed by the Human Rights Campaign, an
organization founded by alleged pederast Terry Bean. Jones defeated
Roy Moore, one of the few public servants who stood up for Christian marriage
in the face of withering attacks.
The
slander campaign against Roy Moore and suspicious timeline of voting returns on
Alabama's election night both offered an occasion for conservatives to contest
the election. Right-wingers abandoned the issue within twenty-four
hours of Jones's suspicious victory. The election was not contested,
which left Trump with a slimmer majority in the Senate: 51 to
49. That slim advantage all but doomed the chances of conservative
favorite Amy Coney Barrett to be nominated to the Supreme
Court. Ironically, at least one supposed conservative,David
French, militated viciously against Roy Moore, celebrated his loss to Doug
Jones, then attacked Donald Trump for not nominating Amy Coney Barrett. Did
French not see that his efforts to sink Moore left Trump without the votes to
get Barrett past the Senate?
We may fantasize that conservatives
constitute a massive invincible army against the left. None of this
will help us if nobody is willing to show up for the fight. The
midterm elections this fall could easily hand the Democrats a commanding lead
in both the Senate and the House. We have no real reason to expect
that conservatives will gather in large numbers to monitor the voting process
for fraud. The fall surprises full of slander, innuendo, and social
media mobbing will follow the pattern we saw in the Roy Moore election, with
National Review writers like David French slamming Republican candidates and
commentators like Matt Walsh and Ben Shapiro playing it safe by
virtue-signaling if ominous accusations, no matter how unproven or unlikely,
gain traction with the general public.
Prudence
calls for us to rally our troops to fight smear campaigns rigorously and to
monitor the elections for voting fraud. But let's not dream
unrealistic dreams. If the Democrats win both houses of Congress, we
should brace ourselves for the following probabilities:
Trump Will Be Impeached but Probably Not Removed from
Office
The
Obama years spoiled the left. With amazing speed, they developed an
adolescent sense of entitlement, convinced themselves that their own propaganda
is "fact," and believed they would never lose control of the
government, culture, schools, churches, military, intelligence, and
media. While the left hates Trump with particular ferocity, any
figure associated with the left's loss of total national power would have
provoked a knee-jerk temper tantrum.
Under
no conceivable scenario will the left control the House without impeaching
Trump. They hate him with the heat of a thousand suns and defy all
appeals to fairness and logic. The trial in the House will consume
the country, bog Trump in red tape, and stall the swamp-draining reforms until
the presidential election in 2020. It will probably be impossible to
get 67 senators to vote to remove Trump, but the impeachment in the House will
be enough to throw most of Trump's housecleaning efforts into disarray.
In
an impeachment situation, many conservatives will betray us and jump on
whatever charges the left manages to articulate against Trump. Too
many on our side lack the willpower to resist coordinated message across major
news outlets. Some within Trump's circle will also betray
him. The disunity and loss of morale will pose serious dangers to
our movement, and we will likely see many federal agencies start to fall under
the power of lingering Obama cronies.
Conversion Therapy Will
Be Banned Nationally, and a Sexual Police State Will Be Born
California's
extreme "stay
gay" bill fulfills the most important aspiration of the LGBT
movement. Marriage, military service, and even anti-discrimination
laws all pale in importance beside the acquisition of a captive
constituency. Gays know that homosexual life is not enough to keep
large numbers of people locked in their dating pool if they know how easy it is
to get out of the gay scene and go straight. (It is exceedingly
easy, by the way.) They need the world to signal belief of their
fantasy that they were born gay. They need self-questioning men and
women to believe that it is more dangerous to get out of the gay lifestyle than
it is to stay in it with all its epidemiological and psychological burdens.
While
blacks and Latinos provide Democrats with badly needed voting blocs, the gays
and Muslims are indispensable sources of money. A lot of rich people
seem to have gay children (like the Gettys or Paul Singer),
and Muslims enjoy the supply chain of money from the oil-rich Middle
East. What gays wants, Democrats provide – they've been trained like
show poodles with all the cash gays have funneled to them over the
years. If the Democrats have enough votes in Congress to ban any
defection from the homosexual life anywhere in the United States, they will
avail themselves of the power. Trump is not particularly worried
about LGBT issues. He may feel that evangelicals just care about
wedding cake laws and won't abandon him over conversion
therapy. Chances are, Trump will sign it.
A national law against conversion therapy
will create a sexual police state because it will allow the government to
monitor a vast range of interactions that fall under
"counseling." Churches, schools, medical professionals,
and even bloggers like me will find themselves increasingly under the threat of
lawsuits, loss of licenses, censorship, and social media mobbing unless they
guarantee gay adults a steady pipeline of new gay recruits drawn from children
and teenagers. With
the massive push by gay groups like the Human Rights Campaign to flood
schools and church youth groups with pro-gay propaganda, young people will be
bombarded with cues designed to push them to experiment with
homosexuality. As with Hotel California, they will be able to check
in, but they will not be able to check out.
The far-ranging effects of such a change
will far surpass what one might imagine at first glance. First, the
percentage of future generations that identifies as LGBT will be
enormous. It is already hovering between 16% and 33%,
depending on which poll you look at. This compares with earlier
generations in which less than 2% of the population was gay or transgender. The
damage to our already frail fertility rate will necessitate more immigration to
make up for drops in births. The market demand for children by
design will fuel more genetic engineering, adoption on demand, and child-trafficking,
as millions of couples incapable of reproducing will expect society to give
them children.
Worst of all, a system of child sex abuse
will develop far worse than anything we have ever seen. The pro-LGBT
educators tend to emphasize "consent" as the main factor
determining healthy sex. With so much pro-gay messaging overwhelming
children, many young people will consent to sex under terms that will have the
effects of abuse but will not qualify legally as abuse. The
aftereffects of their grooming and coercive initiation into sodomy will not be
treatable because of laws criminalizing any counseling that casts homosexuality
in a negative light.
Congress Will Pass Open Borders Laws that Trump Will Veto
The
deluge of sensational news about families separated at the border this summer
reveals that immigration will be an existential issue for the Democrats going
forward. Native-born Latinos like me will not be a reliable voting
bloc for the left, so they will need constant infusions of Latin American,
Asian, and Middle Eastern immigrants. Democrats need them to enter
the USA, get citizenship, and feel indebted to Democrats for at least one or
two generations. There is no way a Democratic Congress will get
sworn in without bill after bill trying to institute open borders and an
unconditional pathway to citizenship.
On
immigration, Trump will probably veto. Republicans will probably
have enough votes to prevent an override. But the hype and hysteria
over the immigration issue will most likely derail the possibility of a border
law, undermine border security, and gin up emotional capital for the 2020
election. The demonization and demagoguery will reach nuclear
levels, and many conservatives will probably crack under pressure and make
deadly escalating concessions. Chances of open borders and mass
amnesty will grow. If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2020 or if a
moderate Republican ousts Trump in the primary, the United States will see open
borders and amnesty – and the country will be en route to implosion.
Conservatives Will
Complain and Roll Over and Do Nothing
I am sorry this prediction is so dire,
but we have seen little in recent history to indicate any other outcome if
Democrats take the House and Senate.
The point is, we have to hold both
houses of Congress, which means we have to get moving
immediately. As I told my Christian friends recently, "yes, God
is on the throne. But we still have to get off our couches and do
something."
Robert Oscar Lopez can be followed at English Manif.