CURRENT VERDICT: early returns look VERY solidly pro-Trump. It's all but over already.
Quote of the Day: You're not going to learn anything useful about the election outcome on here until 7pm, i.e. when they start counting votes. - Nate Silver, 538
Broward County (M=67)
2016:
- 1,179,189 registered
- 822,837 cast
- 71.8 percent turnout
2020:
- 1,267,187 registered (+7.5%)
- 471,474 mail ballots received
Reports:
- Biden running 1.2 percent behind Hillary so far.
- FL all voting: Rs +56,009. Broward, election day only: Ds up 2300, Palm Beach, election day only: Rs +12,000 (!)
- Trump seriously overperforming in Miami-Dade, up 4.4 percent vs 2016. FL r/d: Rs +92,692 Rs +14,000 in . . . PALM BEACH on election day.
- There are only four blue counties on election day. One is D by only 14 votes, one by 48 votes, one by 1070 votes, and Broward by 3,294. We are 4,426 votes from having every FL county red today.
- At noon, Trump ALREADY has more votes in Broward County than he did in 2016: 204,368 to 193,658.
- As of 1 PM, more votes had been cast in FL than were cast in 2016, 9,967,361 to 9,420,039. Donald Trump currently has an estimated lead of 116,422 which exceeds his 2016 winning margin of 113,000.
- "Starting to fall down the Florida election day turnout rabbit hole. Already went for a run so I think I'd just better go and play some FIFA or something." - Nate Silver
- "Voter enthusiasm has been very underwhelming here in Broward County. Turnout looked low on the second to last day of early voting when I went."
Mecklenburg County (M=64)
Reports:
- Trump picked up 3.05% in early votes vis-a-vis 2016.
Philadelphia County (M=83)
Wayne County (M=67)
Hennepin County (M=62)
Milwaukee County (M=67)