Full text: https://www.unz.com/aanglin/iran-war-the-nuclear-elephant-in-trumps-war-room/#comment-7593788
.....Let’s Walk Through This
The current story, as we understand it, is that the Mossad chief, uniquely charismatic and handsome Jew David Barnea, convinced Donald Trump that he could do a “regime change from the air” in Iran. The claim was that if he killed the Ayatollah and some other leaders, did a bit of bombing, the population of the country would rise up and install a Jeffersonian democracy, or maybe demand the Shah return, or whatever. I can believe Trump believed this. I can’t believe anyone else involved at any level believed it. From reporting in the New York Times, we see that everyone in Trump’s cabinet, except Pete Hegseth (who doesn’t really count), said the plan was nonsensical. That includes Rubio, Ratcliffe, all of them.
Regime change from the air has never happened (nb4 – there was a US-armed terrorist army in Libya, also that wasn’t a “regime change,” just the creation of anarchy, something which isn’t viable in Iran, given the missile and drone stocks would still exist and be used by someone). Assuming you do not completely dismantle the government, killing a national leader, no matter how unpopular the leader may be, always and invariably results in a “rally around the flag” phenomenon.
In this case, you can imagine 19 year old men who were in underground disco on Molly on February 28 and in a cave, turbaned up and training in a with Kalashnikovs on March 1. People simply do not support countries that attack their country.
There are decades worth of papers showing that what we’ve seen happen in this war is exactly what would happen: ballistic missile retaliation capable of devastating the US bases in the region and crippling the West Coast Gulf states for decades by destroying ports, oil fields, and water desalination plants, successful strikes on Israel, and the closure of the Straits of Hormuz. Further, everyone who studied the situation at all knew that this would lead to a global economic crisis, with the strangulation of oil, gas, fertilizer, helium.
It is completely impossible that the Israelis believed “kill the Ayatollah and democracy will sprout limbs and crawl up out of the Persian Gulf like a Paleozoic Era tetrapod and waddle into Tehran” theory. Bibi is a lot of things, but he’s not retarded. The Mossad has all of the electronic spying data and the best human intelligence of any intelligence agency in the world. They’re not going to fall for bullshit any first year polisci grad student would laugh at.
Consider the current situation: Iran has done what they were obviously going to do and is winning the war. There is no amount of bombing that can stop them from sending missiles at Gulf nations, US bases, Israel, and any unapproved vessel attempting to pass through the strait. Even completely leveling the cities, Gaza-style, will not end this ability Iran has.
The possibilities being presented on the podcast circuit are that Trump can either give up and surrender, meeting most or all of Iran’s demands, including removal of US troops from the region, an end to Israeli aggression, and allowing Tehran to charge a toll on the Strait, or he can keep bombing until he runs out of bombs while the global economy collapses, and Iran will remain in the driver’s seat indefinitely.
If we take this view, then we have to ask why it is that Bibi pushed so hard for this war. Either of the two stated potential outcomes puts Israel in a much worse situation than they were before the bombing.
So then: what was Bibi’s plan?
The only possible answer to that question is that Bibi planned to set the stage for a nuking of Iran. Not just a single nuke dropped on Tehran, mind you, as that wouldn’t really solve anything, but dropping 15-20 nukes and attempting to completely end the civilization.
Trump must have at least heard of this plan (presumably after his “48 hour war” started), given the language in some of his Truth Social Posts, which has included “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.”
It would be unfair to say the podcasters are not talking about the potential of nuclear war. It does get mentioned. However, the fact that this has to have been Bibi’s plan is unaddressed. I’ve seen no one say it. And yet, there is no other way to work it through logically.........