Saturday, September 5, 2026

The Hamiltonian Mirage - (But DaBoomers will die happy - they got theirs when the getting was good! - CL)

 Hamilton’s project was one of creation. Biden and Trump are trying to restore what was offshored, outsourced, and abandoned over forty years. They are addressing fundamentally different situations.

You cannot build a new system without first tearing down the old one—and the old one now holds trillions in wealth conjured from financial instruments out of nothing, backed by nothing but debt.

Modern Hamiltonian thinkers are arguing for alchemy, not growth. They believe they can turn debt into gold—rebuild factories, outcompete nations with no such burdens, and keep the world believing in the dollar—all while preserving the paper wealth that rests on nothing. It is a fantasy.

But in a deindustrialized, debt-saturated economy, tariffs and subsidies are not solutions. They are magic shows—preserving the appearance of economic health while the foundation crumbles. They raise prices for American consumers, disrupt global supply chains, and provoke retaliation from trading partners who hold trillions in American debt. In 1790, the debt was manageable because the economy was tiny and poised for explosive growth. Today’s $40 trillion debt is a crushing weight—relative to a productive base that has been systematically hollowed out.

Why do our leaders persist in this fantasy? The answer lies not in economics, but in psychology. They are not stupid—they are trapped. Hamilton’s program was a creation strategy. Theirs is a restoration strategy. Creation requires building something new. Restoration requires admitting that something was lost—and admitting loss is politically radioactive. So they dress up restoration as creation. They call tariffs “industrial policy” and subsidies “nation-building.” They invoke Hamilton’s name to give their salvage operation the dignity of a founding vision.

But salvage is not creation. And pretending otherwise does not change the condition of the wreckage.


The Unraveling

The dollar will not collapse overnight. It will unravel gradually—as central banks diversify, oil producers accept alternatives, and international trade settles in yuan, euros, or other currencies. Interest rates will rise as demand for American debt weakens. The cost of imports will climb. Inflation will accelerate. The American standard of living—sustained for decades by cheap imports financed by borrowing—will contract.

Americans, prepared for none of this, will be shocked, angry, and confused. They will look for someone to blame. But the blame lies not with any single president or party. It lies with decades of choices that privileged consumption over production, debt over investment, narrative over reality.

The question we must face is whether we are ready to be honest about what comes next.

https://www.lewrockwell.com/2026/09/no_author/the-hamiltonian-mirage/