Thursday, April 3, 2025

Will Trump REALLY DO IT? Fulfill His Promises? Why Do I Ask?

A couple of days ago I read Karl Denninger’s “Trump Has Done -- And Will Do -- It All”

Read full text: https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=253075

KD’s summary conclusion: And by late spring 2026 what in the fall and winter of 2025 look like the absolute pit of irrevocable despair you'll see green shoots -- real ones, not those fed with hyperactive doses of fertilizer that are going to burn the roots.  Next spring, early, will be the time to buy assets at prices half or less than you can get them today, with many, particularly in commercial RE and machinery at 70+% discounts from today's prices.

The GOP wins in a landslide in 2026 as real incomes, measured in hours worked for a gallon of gasoline, a week of food, a new vehicle, a month's rent, a removed appendix and similar will all go down for hours worked in the United States with the largest gains, as much as 30-40%, in the strata of those making less than $100,000/yr.

After I read it all, including the comments…..and was reminded it was April Fools Day! Ouch!

Yet today - He Wasn't Kidding – by KD

Of course there's a fly in the coffee -- which you just swallowed.

The Senate amendment includes raising the debt ceiling in the key budget process by no more than $5 trillion. 

But I thought we were told that DOGE and the "External Revenue Service" were going to balance the budget?  If so, why is there a need for more borrowing authority?  Is someone -- or are a lot of people in the Trump Administration -- lying?

Read full text:

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=253086 

I can't find a single thing to disagree with in that order -- except that the schedule Trump was waving around was 50% of the tariffs the other nations put on us rather than 100% in many cases.  If that's a "ok guys, its exactly half, drop yours or it goes to all of it" -- or even if all Trump did was compute on the trade imbalance rather than go line-by-line and item-by-item then that's ok.  I'll defer judgment on this.

Further, we need a US content law for critical items -- particularly pharmaceuticals.  That requires Congress; yes, Trump could invoke the DPA (and legitimately so too) but this has to be a durable change as it involves people building plants with material requirements on time thus an E/O is not only the wrong way to address this it could be quite counter-productive.

Now manufacturers of various things sold into the United States have a tough choice to make -- do they take the bet that this is a transient event and at worst goes away in 3-1/2 years, or do they bring the jobs and production back here to the US?

The second is of course what Trump wants and what we should all want.

Why?

Because it compresses the arms of the "K" in the economy.  That is the common person here in America wins because he or she is the one putting together cars, performing mining and manufacturing instead of someone in a sweatshop making $5/day overseas.

This act by Trump today is a good thing.

A very good thing.

 

A little perspective - Vox Day, who has argued for tariffs for a long time, also said: “And, as with all things Trump, wait two weeks before attempting to analyze anything.”

But consider what might be in store – when you read KD’s April 1 article, here’s what’s next: Immigration, Medical Mafia, Energy, Housing… just for starters. You really should read it all - WHY?

Consider – in order for MAGA to become REALITY – America and President Trump have to get serious – NOW! There will be no second chance – this is it. It is truly ironic – what Denninger laid out – and he has been doing it for weeks or months now – is what is necessary to restore our country as a whole. Piecemeal is DEAD!

And it all might have come together as an April Fool Joke!

Rumors of War: Flashpoint Iran - Vox Popoli

(Keeping it simple - Trump has the opportunity to be the greatest president ever.....or preside over the collapse of America....."IT'S YOUR CHOICE, SIR!" - and it will recorded as such by future historians. All we need to do is remind him - REPEATEDLY! It's called LEVERAGE! If he acts as president of Israel.....MAGA is DOA! - CL)

Read full text:

This isn’t what Americans elected President Trump for. But it is what his AIPAC-affiliated financial investors supported him for. It’s all very impressive and intimidating, I’m sure. But two things occur to me:

  1. The US military thought it could take down the Russians too.
  2. The USA’s Syracuse moment is coming. This may not be it. But it’s exactly the sort of thing that declining empires on the verge of collapse have a tendency to do, because they believe they still can.

We’ll see. I still find it difficult to believe that the God-Emperor is anywhere nearly as genuinely Israel First as his public rhetoric tends to paint him. And certainly, the US-based diasporans don’t tend to believe he’s on truly on their side.

There is only one way to find out, and that is to wait and see.

Performative Bluster and Sychronized Idiocy - Vox Popoli

(You might as well include all of the former Western Civilization being mathematically challenged on REALITY - Europe in particular not even capable of realizing that you can't drink from an empty stein! - CL)

Read full text: 
https://voxday.net/2025/04/02/performative-bluster-and-sychronized-idiocy/

Things are not looking good at all for the core nations of the European Union. The smart thing to do for the smaller nations is to get out of it as soon as possible… although the moronic strategeries of the Starmer regime in the UK demonstrate that simply leaving the EU isn’t enough, the point is to abandon their commitment to suicide by Clown World.

The Drums Beat Louder - Karl Denninger

(I have come to the conclusion that when it comes to the reality of understanding math,  Americans in general and their elected officials in particular are 'missing a couple of cans in their sixpacks.'  - CL)

Read full text: 

If you attack cost in a serious way then those who benefit from said increased cost are sad because their margins compress.  Some will be sad enough that their businesses fail since they built overhead-heavy systems that can't operate without that artificially-imposed cost on the end-user.  This means unemployment goes up temporarily, which is bad for a President when it comes to election time because nobody votes for the guy that got them fired.  But people do vote for the guy who got them hired especially if their compensation went up and their cost of living went down in the meantime, and quite-rapidly if you cut that excess and forcibly-imposed cost out of the population's living expenses jobs will be created and economic activity becomes more-competitive to place here in the United States -- but that adjustment will take time.

Thus you cannot be in the middle of a significant economic downturn and expect to do well in an election.

Whiplash Effect as "Pissed Off" Trump Flips Again

 (As DaUS prepares it's own destruction.....ASSuming it's still DaBigDog in DaPen.......which it AIN'T - that other beast in DaPen is a BEAR! - CL)

Read full text:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/whiplash-effect-as-pissed-off-trump?publication_id=1351274&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

In short, the US and Trump want to have their cake and eat it too: they want to be strong enough to dominate China, while also swiftly sewing up the ‘pesky little’ Russian invasion, and keeping the various subsequent geopolitical exigencies from precipitating on the European continent. Who wouldn’t want that? The power to dominate the entire globe, and dictate its affairs. But Trump and his administration are living in another time and place, walking across fiery coals in boots whose rubber soles have long worn out.

Abortion Pill Reversal Saved My Son’s Life. Pro-Lifers Saved Mine

 Read full text: https://thefederalist.com/2025/04/01/abortion-pill-reversal-saved-my-sons-life-a-pro-life-community-saved-mine/ 

About seven months after reversing my chemical abortion, my son arrived. I love him more than I ever feared having him.

Psychology Is Harmful - by Rev. Matthew Littlefield

 Read full text: https://revmatthewlittlefield.substack.com/p/psychology-is-harmful?publication_id=1182452&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 


Psychology is an entire profession designed to palm off responsibility to some other source and exculpate yourself from being the main problem in your life. Even if all the other sources of your bad situation are real, still by taking responsibility for your situation you can change it much better than if you never take responsibility. Taking ownership for yourself and your situation is also often the key to getting out of bad situations that you find yourself in.

PROPHETS, NOMADS AND A FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS A BLOODY CLIMAX – The Burning Platform

 Read full text: https://www.theburningplatform.com/2025/04/01/prophets-nomads-and-a-fourth-turning-accelerating-towards-a-bloody-climax/#more-361423

In 1785 the Americans had won the Revolutionary War, but had not yet written the Constitution or elected a president in the final stages of the first American Fourth Turning. Exactly 80 years later in 1865, the American Civil War Fourth Turning reached its bloody conclusion. Exactly 80 years later in 1945, World War 2 was won, after the loss of 65 million lives. We are now exactly 80 years later in 2025, ready to write another dramatic chapter in the annals of history.

After World War 2, America was the conquering hero wearing the golden crown, but failed to heed the warning all previous empires had also ignored – all glory is fleeting. As we approach our rendezvous with destiny, take note, as described in the bible, that history is cyclical and there is a time for everything. I think everyone needs to understand we are entering a time of war, a time to hate, a time to kill, and a time to die. I wish it weren’t so, but the cycles of history don’t lie. Good luck and Godspeed.

To everything there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven;
A time to be born, and a time to die; a time to plant, and a time to pluck up that which is planted;
A time to kill, and a time to heal; a time to break down, and a time to build up;
A time to weep, and a time to laugh; a time to mourn, and a time to dance;
A time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together; a time to embrace, and a time to refrain from embracing;
A time to get, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to cast away;
A time to rend, and a time to sew; a time to keep silence, and a time to speak;
A time to love, and a time to hate; a time of war, and a time of peace.

Ecclesiastes 3: 1-8

England, their England: Letter from a socialist – The Occidental Observer

 Read full text: https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2025/04/01/england-their-england-letter-from-a-socialist/

The Sceptred Isle has been colonised without a shot being fired. And people get colonised for a reason. It’s how the British and other imperialist nations were able to conquer Africa, India and China: the native populations were weak, not only economically and technologically, but in their politics and, perhaps above all, in the spirit of their people. After decades of ideological attack and taking refuge in booze, drugs, music and cross-dressing, the English are similarly weak.

If I were to speak like Nietzsche, I’d conclude that we deserve to be conquered. But whether we deserve it or not, we are being conquered. I see no hope for us, and although I’m in despair that I’m going to lose my country to the dregs of the planet, nothing short of a revolution will reverse this.

Sixty years ago, Enoch Powell predicted a ‘river of blood’ when the contradictions between the native English and their invaders flooded over, and a civil war would rage up and down the country. Were such a war to break out, I’d join it in a shot. Unfortunately, as Eliot predicted, the world ends not with a bang but with a whimper. By the laws of history that we helped to create, we deserve everything we’re going to get.

The Convergence Chronicles - Vox Popoli - (prove and show how an organization defeats its own purpose for being! - CL)

 If social justice convergence can destroy the market value of Star Wars, empty out the pews of the Anglican churches in England, and cause NaNoWriMo to collapse, it should be beyond obvious that absolutely no aspect or element of it can be permitted entry into any organization that wishes to survive.

Read full text: 
https://voxday.net/2025/04/01/the-convergence-chronicles/ 

Canada Discovers True Multiculturalism - Vox Popoli - (and if you don't understand this phenomenon, you will lose your country..if not already lost! - CL)

 Read full text: https://voxday.net/2025/04/01/canada-discovers-true-multiculturalism/

America is a large British nation born in revolutionary blood. Canada is a small multinational, multilingual collection of loyal colonials, and they are thereby totally unfit for survival when forced to compete with two of the largest, longest-lived cultures, the pajeet and the Han. These dire, Boomeriffic “if-then” warnings are already too late; the only way Canada will survive as a Western society is if it is part of a Greater America that adopts serious repatriation policies. Because Lee Kuan Yew

Half of Young Americans Say Israel Should Be 'Ended and Given to Hamas': Poll | National Review

(Generation Z will have to restore what the DaBoomers destroyed - Western Civilization! - CL)

Read full text: https://www.nationalreview.com/news/half-of-young-americans-say-israel-should-be-ended-and-given-to-hamas-poll/ 

Roughly half of young Americans say Israel should be “ended and given to Hamas and the Palestinians” amid the ongoing war despite continuing support for the Jewish state among older Americans, according to a new poll.

While 51 percent of 18–24-year-olds in the U.S. want Israel to lose to Hamas, that sentiment decreases significantly among the higher age brackets in the monthly Harvard CAPS/Harris poll. Thirty-one percent of 25–34-year-olds, 24 percent of 35–44-year-olds, 15 percent of 45–54-year-olds, 13 percent of 55–64-year-olds, and only 4 percent of Americans aged 65 and older say Israel should be wiped out.

Why Is What We Feed Infants So Unhealthy?

 The Hidden Dangers of Infant Formula and The Incredible Benefits of Natural Milk

Story at a Glance:

•The infant formula industry has almost 100 billion dollars in annual sales. This was accomplished by unscrupulous marketing that trained doctors and parents to discard breastfeeding and tricked them into believing infant formula is “safe and effective.”

•Infant formula is full of corn syrup and seed oils, which cause metabolic dysfunction and excessive weight gain. Remarkably, that weight gain has been normalized, making it possible to diagnose normal children as “underweight” and thereby push formula on them.

•Infant formula is full of seed oils due to a 1980 law based on a 1963 study that concluded their fats were essential for development and hence must be in all formula. Since then, a mountain of evidence has emerged showing they’re actually harmful, but nonetheless, the 1980 formula requirements were never updated. RFK Jr. is thus the first H.H.S. Secretary ever to attempt to address this colossal mistake.

•In contrast, breastmilk (alongside a healthy maternal diet) is one of the most nutritious substances an infant can consume, providing a myriad of benefits including developing the infant’s brain, gut, and immune system, decreasing many serious diseases, enhancing the critical mother-child bond, and reducing the mother’s risk of many severe illnesses (e.g., cancer).

• Before the introduction of infant formula, mothers would often supplement their children’s diets with animal milks. If raw, these milks can yield significant benefits to children, while in contrast, when pasteurized, they have many issues (e.g., they frequently create allergies).

•This article will review the critical points one must know to provide the most healthy nourishment for their child, how to navigate breastfeeding difficulties, and where to obtain the healthiest milk and infant formula.

Read full text: https://www.midwesterndoctor.com/p/why-is-what-we-feed-infants-so-unhealthy?publication_id=748806&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

Sunday, March 30, 2025

Trump and Putin Could Bring Peace to the World - Paul Craig Roberts

 Read full text: https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2025/03/30/trump-and-putin-could-bring-peace-to-the-world/ 

If Trump and Putin were in the league with the great strategists in history, what would they do to bring this clown act to an end?  They would announce a military alliance. Putin can have Ukraine, the Baltics and as much of Europe as he wants.  Trump will take Canada, Greenland, and Panama.  No one on earth could do anything about this.

Putin does not want Ukraine, the Baltics, or Europe.  He only wants Russia to be left alone and to engage freely with the countries that comprise the world.  What Trump really wants, we don’t yet know.  But a Trump-Putin alliance would establish dominion over the rule of earth, Israel included.  Israel’s agenda of Greater Israel could easily be deep-sixed, Israel’s nuclear weapons destroyed, and justice given  to the Palestinians.  Israel would be reduced, instead of expanded, in boundary, and the Jews could use their talent for business to make the Middle East a prosperous area of the world.

President Trump seems to have the idea that the pursuit of mutual interests in business is far superior to the pursuit of war. Putin has shown himself to be the least combative of leaders of powerful countries. 

If only Trump and Putin could realize that a US-Russia military alliance would establish peace in the world, no more NATO, no more CIA overthrowing governments, no more propaganda about false news threats, we could enter a golden era of peace.

Of course, the military-security complex would assassinate both Trump and Putin.

Nevertheless, I believe both would risk it if only they could think of it.

https://www.rt.com/russia/614920-uk-ukraine-attack-violation/ 

https://www.rt.com/russia/614912-sudzha-metering-station-destroyed/

The USA Attacked Russia - Vox Popoli

Read full text:  https://voxday.net/2025/03/30/the-usa-attacked-russia/

Russia would be perfectly within its rights to launch retaliatory strikes on London, Paris, Brussels, or Washington DC now. The globalist organizations headquartered in those four cities are 100-percent guilty of having attacked Russia. The only reason it won’t do so is because time is on its side; the last desperate hope of Clown World is to provoke Russia into striking back hard enough to galvanize widespread Western support for a war on Russia.

The fact that Clown World’s very clever and not-at-all transparent strategy rests on such an obvious non-starter only serves to underline how fragile their globalist neo-tower of Babel is now. At this point, Americans wouldn’t care if Russian troops not only took Kiev and Odessa, they wouldn’t care if they occupied Berlin and Brussels as well.

The constant portrayal of the patient, cautious Putin, who is probably the individual most responsible for preventing WWIII, as an aggressive dictator is such a complete inversion of the truth that it is probably going to be genuinely shocking to most people when he is eventually succeeded by a much more hardline figure who is much more willing to hold Russia’s enemies accountable for their constant provocations.

The cost of bureaucracy designing our technology is beyond our ability to pay!

 The intentional driving of cost higher, whether it be through "wind and solar" as power generation rather than coal and gas, fuel "economy" standards on vehicles, the same for water heaters, furnaces and similar along with air conditioning and similar gear must stop and be reversed right now.  MUCH of the inflation of the last 20 years has been driven through this scam and there is not only no reason for it environmentally it is screwing ordinary Americans out of trillions of dollars a year.

Read full text: 
https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=253066
 
Both of these first two items are done to try to get another tenth or two of a mile per gallon.  The cost of that is turning what should be a 300,000 mile drivetrain with ordinary maintenance into one that is lucky to get out of the 60,000 mile warranty without blowing up.  The ecological cost of making vehicles "disposable" like this is outrageous, if it happens to you when at some distance from home (e.g. on vacation) it adds thousands to the damage you suffer and all of this **** must be stopped; it is a direct consequence of "fuel economy mandates" and similar bull**** including trying to drive people into EVs.  We have known how to for decades, and can today, build gas and diesel drive lines that easily go well beyond 200,000 miles with nothing other than ordinary maintenance.  The failure rates on these newer vehicles in extremely expensive driveline components is intentional; whether it is driven by companies trying to make vehicles disposable and destroying the used-car market so as to force you to buy another $80,000 vehicle or whether driven by government mandate -- or some of each -- it must end right now.  With the government mandates gone if it continues then as citizens we should burn the automakers to the ground along with eating all of their executives and their entire family -- they have known how to build durable drivelines for more than 20 years and proof of it is found in all the 20 year old ones that are still in perfectly good operating condition and have never had a single internal component touched.  There are FOUR such vehicles, all 2015 or older with three of them old enough to drink, two of them having more than a quarter-million miles on them and both the others well north of 100k miles on the clock in my direct family.