https://voxday.net/2026/01/08/the-tree-of-woe-interview/
The title is provocative. “Probability Zero.” But you’re not actually claiming the probability is zero in the mathematical sense. What does that phrase mean to you?
VD: Actually, it’s pretty damn close. The 5 Sigma standard is utilized by particle physicists to confirm their findings; the Higgs Boson was announced on the basis of a 4.9 Sigma finding by one particle accelerator and a 5.0 Sigma finding by another. This is considered “certainty” by the physicists. If we put the percentages of the observed speed of mutational fixation versus the genetic ground it has to cover in those terms, using not-unreasonable assumptions well within the scientific consensus, we’re talking about a 5.3 Sigma negative probability. The probability is as close to absolute zero as it can be and still be calculated.
It’s a rather long interview. Read the whole thing there.
Vox Day’s new book Probability Zero: The Mathematical Impossibility of Evolution by Natural Selection launched today on Amazon. Physics Professor Frank J. Tipler, who wrote the foreword, describes it as “the most rigorous mathematical challenge to Neo-Darwinian theory ever published." That’s a powerful endorsement. The book is currently Amazon’s #1 best seller in the evolution category and earlier hit #1 in biology and genetics.
https://treeofwoe.substack.com/p/why-is-the-probability-zero
