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Sunday, March 10, 2024

A Total Reevaluation of the 2024 Election, by Andrew Anglin - The Unz Review

 

Due to extreme changes in the global and domestic situations, my views on the upcoming 2024 election have changed drastically in the last several months, so it’s appropriate I give a basic outline of what my positions were and what they are now.

Infamously, I had said since 2024 that there is zero chance Donald Trump can win the 2024 election. The argument was that it simply does not make sense that the Democrats stole the 2020 election (something which I assert is incontrovertible fact), face zero consequences, and then not continue to steal elections. I also pointed out that the amount of fraud in the 2022 election was probably even worse than two years earlier.

In order for there to be a fair election, I assert, the US would have to be under some form of martial law. Currently, there is no other mechanism to prevent massive fraud. Without going into too many details about the fraud, which I’ve covered extensively elsewhere, it is a very simple process which simply involves controlling the vote count in a handful of blue cities in otherwise red states (Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia).

The only way to prevent this fraud would be to send in the military to monitor these sites, as well as sites in other potential swing states. Obviously, that is not going to happen. Nothing is going to happen, other than exactly what happened in 2020 and 2022. The plan is to run the election the exact same way. Congress has taken zero action against the mail-in voting and ballot harvesting system. (This is the mechanism through which the election was stolen; it was not rigged machines, which was a red herring pushed by Sydney Powell and Rudy Giuliani, both bad actors who crippled Trump’s ability to create a cohesive response to the fraud in 2020.) Further, Democrats have made it even easier for non-citizens to vote (which is a lesser factor in the fraud than the mail-in ballots, but still a relevant factor).

The arguments from people who agree that 2020 was a massive fraud and who also argue Trump can win in 2024 are not coherent. If I were to do my best to steelman their argument: they claim that Biden is so unpopular that the voter fraud will be overwhelmed by so many votes for Trump. If Trump were to get 70% of the votes in these swing states, surely that would be too much for the fraudsters to handle, they argue. However, this goes against what we all witnessed in 2020, which was that they shut down the counting centers and brought in new ballots. The entire media, including Fox News, said this was normal. There were no riots, there were no mobs with torches and pitchforks showing up at the counting centers. Some Trump supporters in their cuck-muzzles showed up to complain, and in Detroit, they literally locked the doors and covered the windows with cardboard.

When people reacted to these shocking images, the shameless lugenpresse then published headlines like this:

The response from the Trump base was January 6, which was a total setup by the feds to create an atrocity narrative around the election, and an excuse to effectively outlaw any further discussion of the matter. This all worked. Trump agreed to leave the White House, Joe Biden was inaugurated. The January 6 protesters were subjected to Bolshevik type political imprisonment, torture, and show trials. And that was that.

Trump could win 100% of the vote in swing states, and it wouldn’t matter. There is no one to stop the fraud, and there is no one to investigate it. The 2024 election cannot be legitimate. It is impossible.

However, what we must realize is that the only thing that the fraud actually proves is that US elections are not decided by vote count. Although this does prove that Trump cannot win, it does not prove that Trump cannot “win,” i.e., be selected and appointed president through the fraudulent electoral system.

Before the October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas, and the ensuing Israeli response, there was no reason to believe the people with the power to rig elections would want Trump back in office. Now, there is a big reason to believe that: Trump is a diehard Israel supporter. Although he had said little about the ongoing situation in Gaza (presumably because it is so unpopular, even with Republicans), on Tuesday he told Fox News Israel should “finish the job,” suggesting full support for everything the IDF is doing in Gaza.

What is the job that needs to be finished, Donald? Killing the rest of the kids in Gaza? Invading southern Lebanon, ostensibly to “create a buffer” against Hezbollah rockets that are hitting northern Israel? Wiping out the Houthis? Invasions of Iraq and Syria? An invasion of Iran?

Whatever it is, it’s a big job. And it is certainly not an “America First” job. Virtually no one in America wants a region-wide war in the Middle East, and the people who do want it are too stupid to understand the implications.

Israel has an incredible sway over America’s foreign and domestic policy through all sorts of mechanisms. The biggest mechanism is obviously just money; the Jewish lobby just pays politicians. But we should also consider that the presumed Mossad agent Jeffrey Epstein’s sexual blackmail ring was almost certainly just one of many Israeli intelligence operations designed to control powerful people in the US. There are many reasons to believe that the Israelis and their American supporters would be able to engineer a Trump election victory in 2024 if they believed it benefited them. I think at this point, given the problems that Biden is facing, and this signaling from Trump, it is very easy to assume that the entire Israeli government wants Trump 2024.

Donald Trump is not stupid. He understands everything stated above about the nature of the election fraud system. What he is doing is appealing to the Jews to allow him to become president again in exchange for full support of their agenda in the region. What that support would entail is not calculable. The overwhelming majority – probably more than 95% – of white males who would be useful to the US military (young, intelligent, fit, competent, brave) are devoted Trump supporters, and if he called on them to fight a war with Iran, there would be lines out of the military recruitment centers stretching around the block. Trump has a special leadership quality that masculine men are magnetically drawn to, and this gives him the ability to command his young millions to fight a war. This is primal, an atavistic element of male psychology. Very few of these young men will consider the implications.

Although I try to avoid getting too conspiratorial in my analyses, I certainly would not be surprised if there was a 911 type attack on America, and Iran was blamed for it, providing a casus belli that goes beyond “we have to protect Israel.”

Trump Isn’t Actually a Threat to Anything Jews Care About

Aside from the Israelis and the hardline Israel supporters, you will probably see a lightening of the rhetoric about Trump from American Jews, if it is fully established that he is the Israeli candidate.

The assumption that Trump would never be allowed back into office was based on the amount of vitriol aimed at Trump by the Jewish establishment, white women, immigrants, and various other goons of the American Empire. However, the emotionally unhinged reactions to Trump did not ever line up with reality. Trump did not do any of the things his enemies claimed he would do.

  • He didn’t build a wall or do mass deportations of immigrants.
  • He didn’t end the conflict with Russia, and in fact sent weapons to the Ukraine after Obama had refused.
  • He didn’t dissolve NATO.
  • He didn’t stop the Black Lives Matter riots, he didn’t stop the coronavirus lunacy, he actually supported the mass vaccination campaign.
  • He did not “drain the swamp,” and in fact appointed only the worst swamp creatures to offices of relevance.
  • Although he didn’t start any new wars, which was maybe impressive, he failed to end any conflict excluding in Syria (where the Russians probably deserve a lot more credit than him), and continued many neocon policies, including escalations against Iran. He also supported the Saudi war against the Houthis.
  • He did more for Israel than he did for America, giving them sovereignty over the Golan Heights, moving the US embassy to Jerusalem (a symbolic gesture saying that there will never be a two-state solution), and organized the Abraham Accords, which denied the existence of Palestine, gave Islamic states ridiculous incentives (bribes, really) to normalize relations with Israel, and were arguably a precursor to the current situation in Palestine.

I want to note that I still have fond feelings towards Trump, and believe he wanted to do good things for the country. I don’t think he was “in on it,” I think he was just not capable of really doing anything, and ended up choosing the path of least resistance. I also fully understand why so many people want him back in office. Obviously, regardless of the list of problems above, the country was much better when he was president.

The American Jewish hysteria surrounding Trump was not rational. It was purely based on fear of a masculine, white, aggressive leader. It was not based on an objective analysis of what he was capable of doing, or how anything he did would harm the Jews. I am reminded of Jewish “comedian” Sarah Silverman’s bit where she says that her (white, non-Jewish) boyfriend raising an American flag reminded her of Hitler and the Holocaust.

During a 2017 episode of the ironically titled “I Love You, America,” Silverman said:

I had a boyfriend many years ago, he was my first boyfriend who had his own house, and one day I went outside to see what he was doing, and he was hoisting an American flag up the flagpole in his front yard. And I instantly felt very weird. It didn’t make sense, but I felt this feeling of like, um, I felt scared – yeah, I felt scared. So I was like, ‘Uh, what are you doing?’ and he said, ‘Raising the flag,’ and I was like, ‘Why?’ and he’s like, ‘Um, because I love America?’ and I was like, ‘Right, right, of course.’ But inside I was shaken.

And then I calmly walked to my car and I got inside and I called my sister Susie to tell her what happened. Now, maybe you’re thinking, ‘What do you mean what happened? Nothing happened, your boyfriend put an American flag up at his own house.’ No, you’re totally right, I had no idea why I was freaking out. I just – I had this very visceral reaction and my sister, who knows shit because she’s a rabbi in Israel, explained to me, she was like, ‘Dude, nationalism is innately terrifying for Jews. Think about it: flags, marching, blind allegiance? These things tend to ring a bell for us.’ Right. Of course. Duh. It made sense.

This more or less totally explains the screeching we saw from the Jews about Donald Trump. This inexplicable neurosis would of course be overpowered, in the case of many Jews, by the perceived need to protect Israel. Jews tacitly supporting Donald Trump for the sake of protecting Israel could be compared to a starving man engaging in cannibalism.

You could, and probably will, see the media falling back in their attacks on Trump. They will still attack him, but they will tone it down. In particular, they will start admitting he is likely to win, and publishing polls showing that. And then, on election night, they may well behave very differently than they did in 2020, calling states early for Trump.

The majority of the remainder of the “resistance” to Trump came from women and millennials (as well as some other emotionally volatile people like Keith Olbermann) related to the idea that Trump reminded them of their hated fathers. These people are irrelevant. They don’t control the media.

The Potential to Replace Biden Still Exists

It was conceivable that Nikki Haley would play some significant role in this election cycle, potentially running as a third party candidate. However, after she dropped out this week, and given the way she dropped out, that no longer seems very likely. There is still a chance Biden could be replaced by the Democrat Party with someone who would be considered viable by enough of the power brokers to be installed in November.

Biden certainly appears to be completely burned. The way his administration has managed the Ukraine and Israel situations, along with the man’s cartoonish senility, means that reelecting him would create much more instability in the US.

In theory, his administration supports Israel just as much as Donald Trump. The problem is, none of his voters do, and they are protesting against him. If Trump was president, he could do what he couldn’t manage to do with BLM, and shut down the Palestine protests.

In a modern liberal democracy, you don’t need public support for any policy. A democracy government is always just a puppet of private interest groups, and the population has no ability to influence state decisions. The only threat is domestic upheaval, which is generally extremely unlikely in a democracy, given that people will usually simply say “well, I’ll vote for the other guy next time” instead of going into the streets and creating chaos. However, if Biden is reinstalled as president in November, and the wars continue, the economy turns down, and the crime and immigrant situation keeps getting more extreme, you could end up in a situation where no matter how hard the media lies, his real level of support is below 15%. At that point, you are moving into a very precarious situation, where you could start seeing real political violence that threatens the country’s basic stability. There is a switch that can be flipped in the collective psyche of a human population where they, almost simultaneously, become violently enraged, and start acting on that. Right now, Biden’s Israel policy and his immigration invasion both threaten to trigger this collective psychological mechanism.

There is still a chance that Biden is switched out for some other Democrat candidate, which would most likely be Gavin Newsom (although others have claimed Michelle Obama is the more likely option). If this happens, then there is a possibility or probability that the Democrats will continue in power. However, if this doesn’t happen, I’m going to go on a crypto betting website and put a lot of money on Donald Trump winning the 2024 election.

A Personal Note

I hate saying all of this. As the longtime readership is aware, I endorsed Donald Trump in 2015 immediately after his declaration. No matter what happens, the night of the 2016 election will always be one of the greatest nights of my life.

I understand fully that the idea of Donald Trump becoming the bad guy, of starting a major war and sending our boys to go die for Israel in some massive region-wide Middle East mega-war, is extremely painful to even consider.

But I have to tell the truth, and we all have to live in reality if we want to be real human beings loyal to God, to each other, and to ourselves. Not recognizing what is going on here, or denying it, cannot have any good outcomes.

Although I’ve been mentioning that Trump could be the Israel candidate for a while now, it was after his “finish the job” statements on Tuesday, where in so many words he explicitly endorsed the entire Israel war agenda, that it became necessary to give a full outline of what I think is going on, which is what I’ve done here.

I also have to note that this whole thing is such an unbelievable mess, with so much chaos in the government and seemingly no one really in charge, that it is impossible to make any prediction with any degree of certainty. Predictions about politics are primarily based on game theory, analysis of the motives of rational actors, and from what we’ve seen, no one is really acting rationally (with the exception of Trump, who is acting rationally by appealing directly to Jews and offering unlimited support for their war effort in exchange for an election victory).

No one in the Biden Administration is capable of acting rationally. They continue to back themselves into corners. This Ukraine situation has always been lunacy. Or, at least it was lunacy after the sanctions didn’t collapse the Putin government. The original plan for the war was really about the Russian economy: they believed that they could crush the ruble, which would cause a color revolution ending in Putin being replaced with Alexi Navalny. When that didn’t happen, the only rational move would be to agree to give Putin the Donbass and then claim victory because “Putin was stopped from moving further.” Instead, they’ve continued to do things that make zero sense, from really any angle.

Maybe more importantly going forward, the Bibi Netanyahu government, which I’ve asserted would be in charge of a potential Trump administration, is not acting rationally. The assumption that no Arab state is capable of mobilizing against them, along with the assumption that the Sunni-Shia split is something permanent and that some form of alliance between Turkey and Iran is always impossible, are not rational assumptions. These are very dangerous gambles that could, and honestly probably will, result in the destruction of the Zionist entity.

I don’t claim to have insider information, and I am not a wizard, so the only ability I have is to analyze the data we do have, and do my best to make sense of it. The correct analysis, in the end, has to be: anything could happen. Biden could die before the election, Trump could be elected and then die, there is probably some nonzero chance Nikki Haley becomes president somehow, there could be a major terrorist attack or a very serious war could break out before the election and those scenarios could mean who even knows what.

Here’s the only thing I know for certain: there’s an ill wind that blows nobody good.

https://www.unz.com/aanglin/a-total-reevaluation-of-the-2024-election/