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Sunday, May 3, 2026

The American Footprint in Germany: A Schnitzel-Fueled Alliance - Johnson

 

Trump’s reported decision to withdraw 5,000 US troops from Germany is a curious symbolic gesture that has been greeted with alarm from many German politicians. The United States still maintains a robust military presence in Germany, with approximately 35,000–40,000 troops stationed across the country—primarily under US European Command (EUCOM) and US Army Europe and Africa (USAREUR-AF). This presence represents one of the largest overseas American military deployments, a strategic partnership forged in the aftermath of World War II and refined through decades of Cold War tension, NATO collaboration, and an inexplicable German efficiency that makes American logistics look like a high school group project. Did you know that Germany hosts more American military personnel than some American states have active-duty troops. I decided it is time to give you a detailed catalogue of the US presence. Ask yourself, does this still make strategic sense?.....

.....The Bottom Line: These bases are historical relics, but they remain active components that enable US military adventures in the Persian Gulf, Afghanistan and Africa.

Full text:
https://larrycjohnson.substack.com/p/the-american-footprint-in-germany?publication_id=1225061&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

Conclusion: More Than Just Bases

The American military presence in Germany once was a testament to enduring partnership, shared values, and an emblem for leaders who embraced the myth that security is a collective endeavor. That era is dead and dying. Germany needs the US presence because of its economic stimulus to a decaying German economy. And the US needs Germany as a critical logistics hub for sustaining operations, like the current war with Iran.

The continued US presence in Germany is predicated on the belief that the US needs a forward location for staging troops and other military assets in preparation for attacking other countries. Washington politicians and policymakers continue to delude themselves with the lie that we are there to deter foreign aggression. However, the record of the last 66 years, starting with Vietnam, shows that the country that has been most active attacking other countries that die not attack the US is the US. I think it is time we come home and clean up our own domestic mess.

Distrust the Science - Vox Popoli

 A partial chronicle of how trusting the science will reliably kill you.

If you trusted “settled science” throughout history, you’d have:

  • Taken heroin for your child’s cough (1890s)
  • Had your healthy teeth pulled to cure mental illness (1910s)
  • Drunk radioactive water for vitality (1920s)
  • Smoked cigarettes for your throat, on doctor’s orders (1940s)
  • Eaten lead paint chips as a calcium supplement (1940s)
  • Lobotomised your sister for being unhappy (1940s)
  • Sprayed DDT on the children in the playground (1950s)
  • Used asbestos to insulate your child’s bedroom (1950s)
  • Taken thalidomide for morning sickness (1960s)
  • Eaten margarine for your heart (1970s)
  • Avoided all fat and eaten carbohydrates to lose weight (1990s)
  • Replaced butter with trans-fat spreads on the doctor’s recommendation (1990s)

Every generation has its medical catastrophe dressed up as health advice. Endorsed by the experts. Printed in the textbooks. Recommended by your doctor. Featured on the front of the magazines in the waiting room. Future generations will look back in horror. Just like we look back at radioactive tonics and cigarette prescriptions and wonder how anyone fell for it.

Now we are told to take statins, vaccinate our children, inject experimental RNA-modifying spike protein factories into our bodies, avoid nicotine and alcohol, and cure cancer with chemotherapy.

One guess how the probabilities are going to turn out over time. Never forget that peer-reviewed published science from reputable journals has proven to be less reliable than a coin toss.

DISTRUST THE SCIENCE. Because scientists and doctors are not only fallible, but their primary incentives are intrinsically corrupt.

Remember, we have a word for science that is reliable. And that word is “engineering”.

DISCUSS ON SG

Ain't Nobody Happy - by Vox Day - Swiping should not be confused with sex

 Deltaman writes in to point out that the fact women are rejecting low-status men on social media does not mean that the Alphas of the world are necessarily cleaning up any more comprehensively than before.

Dating applications have not engineered a hyper-promiscuous elite of men who hoard physical sexual access; instead, they have manufactured a severe market distortion. By providing an illusion of limitless upward mobility, these platforms artificially inflate expectations and effectively price average women out of the dating pool, despite the fact that top-tier men are bound by the logistical and biological limits of their own sexual bandwidth....


https://sigmagame.substack.com/p/aint-nobody-happy?publication_id=2265630&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

....Those are some of my conclusion beyond the data included. The data does do a reasonable job that the Chads are not sleeping with dozens of women per year but that’s actually irrelevant to the dating market if the average man on a dating app is functionally invisible.

I have to admit that I don’t pay very much attention to the current state of the dating market anymore, but it is true that the information that led everyone to conclude that the 80/20 attraction that Hoemath and others have pointed out meant that the attraction was being translated into sexual activity is nearly 15 years out of date.

And the new studies, which indicate that it’s not just the men who are being ignored does tend to correspond a lot more harmoniously with the endless laments of average women that there are “no good men” and that they haven’t even been hit on for an extended period of time.

The chads aren’t any busier than they have historically been, and they aren’t any more interested in average women than they have historically been. Basically, the 4s through 6s are rejecting the average guys, but they’re not getting anything out of it, because the Alphas and Bravos are simply ignoring them.

The Rise in Infant Mortality - Vox Popoli

 This rise in infant mortality in the Philippines coincides precisely with a post-2020 two-year decline in average US life expectancy:

BREAKING STUDY: Infant Mortality SURGED 37% and Birth Defect Deaths JUMPED 46% After COVID-19 “Vaccine” Rollout

Using official Philippine government data, we found 20 years of declining infant mortality were ERASED in just 5 years—alongside a COLLAPSE in live births........


https://voxday.net/2026/05/03/the-rise-in-infant-mortality/ 

....After decades of steady improvement, the abrupt and sustained reversal in infant mortality—alongside parallel rises in congenital abnormalities and multiple cause-of-death categories—represents a clear and unprecedented public health signal that cannot be ignored.

The number of deaths from the vaxx significantly exceeds the Holocaust and may well exceed WWII. The accounting is still far from complete, since the spike proteins are still killing people early every day, so by the end, the total number of deaths will likely exceed that of the The Great Leap Forward. Unfortunately, since most people have very limited time horizons, there are very few capable of connecting the increase in fatal miscarriages, heart attacks, and strokes to the fact that their friends and family members submitted to the vaxx regime.

Never, ever, let a government put anything in your body, especially when the government says it is legally required.

The liquidity squeeze 2.0 - by No1 - Gold and Geopolitics - (Read it all.)

 Now onto what I’m doing.

I’m mostly sitting. I hold more cash than I normally hold (25%). The reasoning is straightforward: in a 20-25% PM drawdown I want to be a buyer, not looking at positions that are bleeding alongside the broader market. Cash in IBKR pays roughly 3% just sitting there, which is not nothing while you wait.

The cost of the drawdown is not worth the cost of missing the first 10% or even 20% of the eventual recovery.

Alongside the cash, I’m holding long-dated calls. Specifically SLV LEAPS and SILJ LEAPS, both with expirations in 2027 and 2028. The thesis behind the structure: if I’m wrong about the squeeze and silver just grinds higher from here, the calls capture the move without requiring me to be fully invested in the underlying. If I’m right about the squeeze and silver drops 25%, the calls take a beating on delta but the long expiration means I have time for the structural thesis to play out, and I can add to the position at much lower premiums during the panic. The combination is a barbell. Cash on one side for downside protection and dry powder. Long-dated optionality on the other side to capture the eventual repricing without timing the exact bottom.


https://no01.substack.com/p/the-liquidity-squeeze-20?publication_id=4094764&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

Blessings from Heaven, by Israel Shamir - The Unz Review

 Full text: https://www.unz.com/ishamir/blessings-from-heaven/ 


As Unz readers were presented with a UFO theorist quite recently, they may know there is a theory that the absence of real space travellers on Earth is due to the fact that every civilisation that was on the threshold of breaking into space instead destroyed itself. It seems that now we are very close to self-destruction, whether by death-seeking Jews pushing for Armageddon, or by death-seeking Brits competing to be first. The chances are not too good that our own particular civilisation will escape the personal ambitions of our own billionaires and warmongers.

So, what will it be raining down upon us? Will it be blessings from Heaven, in the form of soft rains, green fields and abundant harvests? A billionaire might worry that the abundant harvests might devalue his investments in grain futures. A warmonger will certainly worry that an outbreak of peace may hurt his popularity and reduce the impact of his favourite weapon systems. These men might do anything, anything at all to achieve better quarterly dividends, and no one can stop them. The mere whim of a billionaire might cause something far more substantial and destructive than blessed rain to be falling down upon our own heads someday. It’s time to rein them in, perhaps with a wealth tax.

The Decay Function of Professional Science - Vox Popoli

 An excerpt from HARDCODED: AI and The End of the Scientific Consensus:

How long does it take for a scientific field to fill with garbage?

The question sounds polemical, but it has a precise mathematical answer. Given a field’s publication rate, its replication rate, its correction mechanisms, and—critically—its citation dynamics, we can model the accumulation of unreliable findings over time. The result is not encouraging.

The key insight comes from a 2021 study by Marta Serra-Garcia and Uri Gneezy published in Science Advances. They examined papers from three major replication projects—in psychology, economics, and general science journals including Nature and Science—and correlated replicability with citation counts. Their finding was striking: papers that failed to replicate were cited significantly more than papers that replicated successfully.

Not slightly more. Sixteen times more per year, on average......


.....When half the literature is unreliable, 94 percent of the citation-weighted training signal comes from unreliable papers.

This is the amplification mechanism. The literature can be 50 percent garbage, but the effective literatur, what researchers actually encounter, learn from, and calibrate against, is 94 percent garbage. The citation dynamics concentrate the garbage.

Now what happens when researchers trained on this signal produce new work?