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Tuesday, September 8, 2026

The Fallacy of Success - by Vox Day - Sigma Game

 GK Chesterton figured out that success was a dangerous trap more than a century ago, as his 1909 essay explains that there is no such thing as success. Which has become more and more obvious, as we see that most of what passes for success today is simply manufactured at the whim and in the interests of those who happen to have positioned themselves to draw from the seemingly endless well of the debt pool.

Which is one reason why I assiduously insist that the SSH is neither a self-help manual nor a guide to success. It is merely a guide to reality; what one does with it is entirely up to the individual.


There has appeared in our time a particular class of books and articles which I sincerely and solemnly think may be called the silliest ever known among men. They are much more wild than the wildest romances of chivalry and much more dull than the dullest religious tract. Moreover, the romances of chivalry were at least about chivalry; the religious tracts are about religion. But these things are about nothing; they are about what is called Success. On every bookstall, in every magazine, you may find works telling people how to succeed. They are books showing men how to succeed in everything; they are written by men who cannot even succeed in writing books. To begin with, of course, there is no such thing as Success. Or, if you like to put it so, there is nothing that is not successful. That a thing is successful merely means that it is; a millionaire is successful in being a millionaire and a donkey in being a donkey. Any live man has succeeded in living; any dead man may have succeeded in committing suicide. But, passing over the bad logic and bad philosophy in the phrase, we may take it, as these writers do, in the ordinary sense of success in obtaining money or worldly position. These writers profess to tell the ordinary man how he may succeed in his trade or speculation--how, if he is a builder, he may succeed as a builder; how, if he is a stockbroker, he may succeed as a stockbroker. They profess to show him how, if he is a grocer, he may become a sporting yachtsman; how, if he is a tenth-rate journalist, he may become a peer; and how, if he is a German Jew, he may become an Anglo-Saxon. This is a definite and business-like proposal, and I really think that the people who buy these books (if any people do buy them) have a moral, if not a legal, right to ask for their money back. Nobody would dare to publish a book about electricity which literally told one nothing about electricity; no one would dare publish an article on botany which showed that the writer did not know which end of a plant grew in the earth. Yet our modern world is full of books about Success and successful people which literally contain no kind of idea, and scarcely and kind of verbal sense.

It is perfectly obvious that in any decent occupation (such as bricklaying or writing books) there are only two ways (in any special sense) of succeeding. One is by doing very good work, the other is by cheating. Both are much too simple to require any literary explanation. If you are in for the high jump, either jump higher than any one else, or manage somehow to pretend that you have done so.

Full text: 
https://sigmagame.substack.com/p/the-fallacy-of-success?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=2265630&post_id=214567844&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=y7h5a&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email 

Will Taiwan Just Give Up? - The Atlantic - (Smarter than the average American? - CL)

 The Taiwanese don’t trust Trump, and they don’t believe America will come to their defense. A deal with China is starting to look inevitable.


https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/10/trump-taiwan-sovereignty-china/688356/ 

Mirroring the Long Telegram: structural convergence of the USSA and the USSR, by Hua Bin - The Unz Review

 Modern-day US exhibits the same symptoms as George Kennan’s 1946 diagnosis of Soviet pathologies


In the past year, I have been reading about the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union.

I thought the subject relevant since we are already in a second Cold War for some years.

The books include Nicolas Thompson’s The Hawk and the Dove: Paul Nitze, George Kennen, and the History of the Cold War through which I learned about Kennen and his famous The Long Telegram.

Others in the list include Jack Matlock’s Autopsy on An Empire, Vladislav Zubok’s Collapse: the Fall of the Soviet Union, and Serhii Plokhy’s The Last Empire: the Final Days of the Soviet Union.

I also skimmed through John Lewis Gaddis’ The Cold War: A New History.

All are massive dense tomes that overlap significantly. Collectively, they offer a comprehensive, and surprisingly consistent, perspective on Cold War history and Soviet collapse.

Interestingly, several of them are required readings in China’s Central Party School.

For obvious reasons, Beijing has a deep interest to analyze and understand the period and draw lessons from, especially the collapse of the USSR.

As I read through these works, I was struck by the unmistakable parallel between late-stage USSR and contemporary USA.

I am writing down my reflections from the readings in two essays.

In this first piece, I’ll attempt to compare the political realities of USSR with the US today.

In the second piece, I’ll explore the strange parallel between Donald Trump and Mikhail Gorbachev, as I see it...


https://www.unz.com/bhua/mirroring-the-long-telegram-structural-convergence-of-the-ussa-and-the-ussr/#comment-7765362 

Is (Ron) Unz Review Jewish Gatekeeper?, by Marco de Wit - The Unz Review

 Gentiles should not take Unz’s aggressive style personally; rather, they should remember that such a style is quite common in Jewish circles. For those who still feel insulted, rather than resorting to counterattacks, it might be more useful to remind Unz that his views have evolved, and that everyone should maintain an open mind to encourage the search for truth. That is often a long process so patience is required from everyone.

Unz seems to agree with this view, having proven his commitment by providing a massive free speech platform. He not only talks about these principles but also acts in defense of free speech—an effort that certainly earns him much respect.


https://www.unz.com/article/is-ron-unz-review-jewish-gatekeeper/ 

The clues in human DNA that prove life had an intelligent creator, according to a medical scientist | Daily Mail Online

 A medical scientist has claimed that the intricate code embedded in human DNA is compelling evidence that life had an intelligent creator.

Dr Orson Wedgwood, a New Zealand-based healthcare researcher, argues that DNA could not have emerged randomly in puddles or undersea vents on early Earth, calling its spontaneous formation so improbable that it is effectively impossible.

Wedgwood believes the genetic system contains abstract instructions that nature has no known mechanism for creating unaided.

'It's a language, and this does provide evidence for intelligence,' he told the Daily Mail in his first exclusive newspaper interview.

He also pointed to the protective barriers that hold cells together, arguing that explaining their appearance exposes a fundamental gap in accounts of how life began.


https://www.dailymail.com/sciencetech/article-16063703/human-dna-intelligent-creator-evidence.html 

(Land of DaFree and home of DaBrave? What a freaking joke! - CL) - U.S.A.I.D. - Bribing Media To Brainwash Americans With Their Own Tax Money

 Reports are coming in claiming TIME Magazine was paid $4 Million by U.S.A.I.D. to designate Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky as their "Person of the year."

Bribing the media to brainwash Americans with their own taxes… What an embarrassment.  No. Wait.  Not an embarrassment; a SCANDAL!  A FRAUD!    Story continues beneath video.

The Inbound Market / AI Collapse - (And when it arrives....it'll be wondrous to watch....just like DaTwinTowers!! - CL)

 Call me whatever names you wish, this one is going to get very, very bad.

It will hit all of us -- every single one.  It will force realignment of multiple industries and firms, along with local and state governments.  Those who have structured around it to try to claim some sort of "prize" from it, such as tax revenues, will find themselves presiding over rotting hulks much like when the huge malls all got eviscerated due to multiple factors all converging at once: Online shopping, "youths" who simply cannot keep their hands to themselves nor control their urge to steal, police who refuse to arrest and prosecute and more.

The AI mess is much worse.  Many municipalities have been "stoked" with the idea of tax revenues from these installations, and even the President has bought into their load of crap.  Most people are unaware of how property tax works on businesses; most states and counties tax personal property held by a business (Florida does, for example) on an annual basis much like a homeowner pays property taxes on their house.  The temptation to get cute with this when someone wants to put $10 billion worth of GPUs in your town is large, quite-obviously, even though there are basically no jobs created on a permanent basis.  Oh sure, there are a lot of jobs while construction is going on but once construction is done there are only a few dozen people -- if that -- remaining on-site.  Then there's the power, water and, for many of these depending on the designs, noise consideration.

As I've pointed out I have no quarrel with data centers provided they are not cost-shifted onto everyone else -- which every developer of any project tries to do.  That's not specific to data centers, but the scale is much worse here than anywhere else, which is why it matters in this instance.......


https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=255935 

.....The corrective force comes when the alleged productivity improvement promises fails to materialize; the cost doubling or five times multiple arrives as everyone can see but productivity either goes nowhere or worse, goes in the tank.

When you have a firm like NVidia which has a run rate of $250 billion of revenue per year and it puts $100 billion of off-balance sheet debt guarantees on itself in one quarter, an amount across a year that exceeds the entire revenue of the firm you have entered into the realm of promising that said firms who are the beneficiaries of said guarantees "will perform as expected."  If and when they can't the house of cards comes down -- not necessarily meaning NVidia goes bankrupt (after all they do have a very nice graphics card line) but rather all those companies who took out such debt cannot pay, they get liquidated, the value of all that equipment goes to near-zero instantly and the market prices of said firms collapse.

From this will come opportunity in that being able to buy things at 10 cents on the dollar is quite lucrative if you can use them productivity.  I ought to know -- I did it several times and it worked out really well.  But never was I out over my skis in that there was no debt that required service and deploying said things thus dropped straight to the bottom line as a lower cost of sales.

So yes, there will be joy on the horizon on the other side of all of this -- but the smiles will be on the faces of those walking on the ruins of that which first collapses, and the indications of that, and that it will come (and unfortunately is going to get a bunch of state and municipal governments too, not just private industry) is a certainty.

Trump will be known as Hoover -- or Carter -- within a few years and so will Vance if he doesn't distance himself from this bleating about rates while the government runs a 6% deficit which pegs the actual neutral rate at about 7%.  I'm certain of it because right now all players are actively inflating a bubble that has already reached unprecedented levels of insanity on valuation from which there is no possibility of growth into it down the road.  The continued refusal to put a stop to the excess demand thus crazy escalations in price along with wild-eyed and intentional depression of wages guarantees a 1930s-style outcome -- and that's if we're lucky.

These acts were stupid, they've gone on for decades and now the check is on the table.

No technology has ever come into existence that doesn't follow the pattern of "faster, cheaper and better."

Not once through history, and this will not be the first time that said reckoning will have to be faced and paid.