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Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Hyperscaler Bankruptcies Coming - Denninger

 Read the title.

Then read it again.

Then find everything in your portfolio connected to those firms and contemplate protecting against a wipe-out in all of them.

Here's why: China's DeepSeek has popped out with its latest model at 1% of the price of competing models.....


https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=255785 

....Incidentally not even an embargo against Chinese AIs will do anything about this as open models are engaged in the same sort of pricing-level attack so even an attempt at raw protectionism will do exactly nothing.

Anyone who has committed to said CapEx on the premise of a future ROI at even 10% of their original pricing is, in my opinion, absolutely screwed.  I can assure you nobody modeled a 90% crash in pricing say much less a 99% one.

There is no possible way out of the box for these firms; you cannot, no matter what you do, survive a 90% or 99% price whack imposed on you by competitors and survive.  No chance.  Nobody is going to pay ten to one hundred times more for the same thing.

Ever.

The scope of the economic impact headed our way that cannot be evaded has never occurred before and given a roughly 20% increase in margin debt just in the last few months the market impact when this blows has never occurred before either -- except perhaps in 1929 when brokerages allowed 100x leverage.

Canary in the Coal Mine: Trucking Industry Going into Cardiac Arrest

 A routine industry report from FreightWaves provided the clearest evidence yet that the global energy crisis has moved from a macro-economic abstraction to a granular, physical collapse.

While the financial press obsesses over the latest Trump-Iran head fake and the dead-cat bounce on the Nikkei, the trucking and logistics sector—the literal circulatory system of the modern economy—is going into cardiac arrest.

Here’s what the data tells us:.....


https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/component/content/article/canary-in-the-coal-mine-trucking-industry-going-into-cardiac-arrest?catid=20&Itemid=101 

....These bankruptcies tell us that companies can no longer pass on the cost of fuel to their customers, and they can no longer absorb the losses themselves. They are simply shutting their doors.

3. This Is Happening BEFORE the SPR Floor

This is the most critical point. Tracking shows the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve’s sour crude—the only type that can be refined into the diesel these trucks run on—is at 197 million barrels and falling. The operational floor is 140-150 million barrels. At current drawdown rates, we don’t hit that until September.

In other words, the diesel crisis is already destroying companies while the reserve is still (technically) flowing. The market is running out of affordable fuel faster than the SPR is running out of oil. When the SPR does hit the floor in a few weeks, the current trickle of bankruptcies will become a flood.

4. The “AI Layoffs” Smokescreen Is Officially Dead

You can’t blame these layoffs on artificial intelligence. No one at Freight Handlers lost their contract because ChatGPT started unloading pallets. This is purely the result of diesel prices making entire logistics routes uneconomical. The corporate narrative that “AI is causing mass unemployment” has always been a convenient cover for the demand destruction and energy costs that are actually breaking the economy. This report is the smoking gun.

The Big Picture

For months, I’ve been tracking the energy shock from the Strait of Hormuz through the SPR, into the distillate supply, and now into the real economy. The FreightWaves report is the moment the crisis becomes undeniable. Trucks are the connective tissue of everything: food, medicine, fuel, parts. When the trucking companies start to go under, it means the goods they carry will soon stop arriving. The ghost of empty Store shelves is now visible on the horizon.

The next phase is predictable: as logistics providers fail, their creditors—regional banks and commercial lenders—will start taking losses. The financial system, which has been propped up by hopes of a diplomatic miracle, will face a reckoning rooted not in sentiment but in unpaid invoices and repossessed trucks.

This is not a drill. The physical economy is seizing up in real time. The headlines about peace talks and stock market rallies are noise. The signal is in the trucking bankruptcies. Pay attention.

The Galling Gallium Chokehold: Why the US Cannot Produce Precision Missiles and Fully-Functional F-35s

 Kudos, again, to Kevin Wamsley of Inside China Business. Based on his latest podcast (see below) I did some additional digging. The substance of his video briefing is shocking and alarming, at least for US policymakers and weapons manufacturers. There is a single thread running from the empty nose cones of America’s newest stealth fighters to the laboratories where China is building the internet of the 2030s. That thread is gallium — a soft, silvery byproduct of aluminum refining that almost no one outside a materials-science department thinks about, and that the United States does not produce at all.

A metal America stopped making

The top line from the US Geological Survey is stark: the United States has had no primary domestic gallium production for decades, and its net import reliance sits at 100 percent. China, by contrast, controls the overwhelming majority of global output — figures commonly cited run from 94 to 98 percent of raw production. The reason is structural, not incidental. Gallium is extracted as a byproduct of bauxite and zinc processing, industries China dominates. A country cannot simply decide to make gallium; it must first build the aluminum and zinc industries that yield it, then the extraction, refining, wafer, and packaging lines on top. That is a decade-plus undertaking, not a budget line.


https://larrycjohnson.substack.com/p/the-galling-gallium-chokehold-why 

How Lockheed Martin, Raytheon & BAE Systems Are Propagandizing Children To Support War Through STEM - LewRockwell

 Raytheon sponsors the Girl Scouts of America. BAE Systems is reading your toddlers their favorite fairytale stories. And Lockheed Martin funds children’s math and STEM festivals. This is done with great fanfare, supposedly to empower and inspire children to pursue their passion for science. In reality, though, these companies are attempting to launder their images and enlist the next generation to become cogs in the military-industrial complex.

All the while, these organizations’ products are being used across the world by the United States and Israel to commit war crimes – in Iran, Yemen, Palestine, and beyond – to target children.

MintPress explores the murky world of the arms companies training kids to bomb kids......


https://www.lewrockwell.com/2026/08/no_author/how-lockheed-martin-raytheon-bae-systems-are-propagandizing-children-to-support-war-through-stem/ 

....Thus, while arms manufacturers read fairytales to Western kids, children across the world are forced to live out a very real nightmare, thanks in no small part to these companies.

Whether they live in the United States or one of the countries under its boot, however, children everywhere are being targeted by these weapons firms, though in different ways. In the United States, Raytheon, Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and others have stepped in to bolster cash-strapped education departments. While their rhetoric emphasizes empowering children – especially girls – to follow their science dreams, their true intent is to launder their reputations as merchants of death, and to train up the next generation of Americans to become willing members of the American war machine.

Children on the other side of the globe, however, are given no such illusions, and have to live with the constant terror that they be these companies’ next victims. This image, is not the one the likes of Raytheon want us to think about when we picture their products, and so they spend millions attempting to distract us with stories of empowerment and discovery. What a world we live in, where weapons companies are training kids to bomb kids.

This article was originally published on MintPress News.

An Apology - Vox Popoli - (A sports reporter able to apologize is not a CUCK - however, those still insisting on their politically correct response to DaCovid 'shotskies' are not only cucks....they're delusional! - CL)

 Stephen A. Smith publicly apologized to Kyrie Irving yesterday.


https://voxday.net/2026/08/04/an-apology/ 

There are a lot of people who are owed apologies. Not me, because I was fortunate in that my immediate family was 100 percent in accord with my absolute rejection of the vaxx and even my friends who got vaxxed were entirely respectful of my

But for all of you who suffered for your refusal to submit to the global psyop, go ahead and take a private mental victory lap. You have been vindicated. You were right all along. You did the right thing. And never again will you feel the same sort of social pressure on you, even when Clown World tries something similar again, because now you know that you not only can stand against it, but you must do so in order to show others that they can too.

And full credit to Stephen A. Smith for being brave enough to do what very, very few public figures are willing to do, and admit in front of everyone that he was wrong.

The Aerial Blockade of Odessa - Vox Popoli - (What goes around...comes around - welcome to reality! - CL)

 I’ve always thought Odessa is Russia’s primary objective. And now they’re using 5GW to enforce an aerial blockade of Ukraine’s most important ports, including Odessa:

For about ten days now, Moscow has begun systematically targeting all vessels approaching the port, with no regard for nationality. Now, neither captains nor shipowners dare to approach the three major Ukrainian ports: Odessa, Chornomorsk, and Pivdenny.


https://voxday.net/2026/08/04/the-aerial-blockade-of-odessa/ 

After having been targeted by it for decades, Russia and Iran clearly understand how to wage economic war better than the West.

China! China! China! and Pardon my Fauci - Jeffries

 Both the grilling of Fauci, and the response to Trumpenstein’s China speech reveal once again the futility of our Uniparty system. What exactly is the difference between claiming that Russia! Russia! Russia! was behind everything, which is what the Democrats have done ever since Trump became president in 2016, and China! China! China!, which is the new rallying cry of Republicucks? The allegations are the same, but the foreign hobgoblin changes, depending on which “competing” party is making them. As always, there is an attempt to deflect attention away from those who lead this country. The ones who do nothing about the potholes. The disparity of wealth. The absence of real job opportunities. The wasteful, bloated government that taxes with an iron hand, but provides no services in return. The ones who always vote for war, and austerity, and hate “conspiracy theories.” Like magicians, they distract. Look over there- at China! Pay no attention to what’s behind the curtain in Washington, D.C.

At this point, the only strategy left for Trump and his remaining cult members is to point the finger elsewhere. “Sure, I’m in the Epstein Files, and I’ve broken all my promises, driving away every real America First supporter, but what about Chiiina!” The Chinese may be a totalitarian technocracy, but their government at least prioritizes its own people. They have a clean and orderly society, with top notch infrastructure. How does that compare with our American Shithole? They don’t waste their resources intervening militarily in other countries. They certainly don’t seem beholden to Israel. And in the other corner, you have the “Woke” Democrats, sworn to uphold anti-Whiteism and transgenderism at all costs, who point at Russia, and call Trump “Putin’s bitch.” This would be the same Vladimir Putin who is rebuilding churches and is concerned enough about the plunging birthrate to pay Russians to have babies. Pretty scary, eh kids?, as SCTV’s Count Floyd used to say.

The other focus recently for the MAGA stragglers who are hanging around, perhaps hoping in vain for an invitation to the first soiree in Trump’s new big, beautiful ballroom, is “communism.” This would be the same communism which sprang from the Bolshevik Revolution over a century ago. All the leading capitalists of the day were enthusiastic supporters of Bolshevism. Which is a decidedly strange thing, considering that the “Russian” revolutionaries were sworn to destroy capitalism. They were led by the likes of Trotsky, whose real name, shockingly enough, was Lev Bronstein. There wasn’t a whole lot of “Russian” in that Russian Revolution. Read my book American Memory Hole for more exciting and little known details. In a July 4 speech at Mount Rushmore- under the watchful eye of our greatest tyrant Lincoln and leading interventionist Teddy Roosevelt, Trump called the rise of democratic socialists like New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani the “greatest threat to our country since its founding,” comparing the movement’s potential impact with World War II and the 9/11 Inside Job that he refuses to call an Inside Job.......


https://donaldjeffries.substack.com/p/china-china-china-and-pardon-my-fauci?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=344941&post_id=209379930&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=y7h5a&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email