CONSIDERATIONS ABOUT RECENT PREDICTIONS OF IMPENDING SHORTAGES OF PETROLEUM EVALUATED FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF MODERN PETROLEUM SCIENCE.

J. F. Kenney

Joint Institute of the Physics of the Earth

Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow;

Gas Resources Corporation, Houston.

ABSTRACT: For almost a century, various predictions have been made that the human race was imminently going to run out of available petroleum. The passing of time has proven all those predictions to have been utterly wrong. It is pointed out here how all such predictions have depended fundamentally upon an archaic hypothesis from the 18^th century that petroleum somehow (miraculously) evolved from biological detritus, and was accordingly limited in abundance. That hypoth esis has been replaced during the past forty years by the modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of abyssal, abiotic petroleum origins which has established that petroleum is a primordial material erupted from great depth. Therefore, petroleum abundances are limited by little more than the quantities of its constituents as were incorporated into the Earth at the time of its formation; and its availability depends upon technological development and exploration competence.

 "The overwhelming preponderance of geological evidence compels the conclusion that crude oil and natural petroleum gas have no intrinsic connection with biological matter originating near the surface of the Earth. They are primordial materials which have been erupted from great depths."

Academician Professor Vladimir B. Porfir’yev, senior petroleum exploration geologist for the U.S.S.R., at the All-Union Conference on Petroleum and Petroleum Geology, Moscow, 1956.

https://www.csun.edu/~vcgeo005/Energy.html 

The Cultural -- And Economic -- Choice

 A "forbidden" topic?

It had better not be, and we'd better contemplate and then act on it, and soon.

Prior to Hart-Cellar immigration into the United States was mostly-confined to those of European descent.  This was over concerns that reasonably-compatible cultural stock was part and parcel of the United States and without it severe and, over time, critical and in fact fatal damage would occur to our society.  There was reasonable basis for this too, given that blacks were freed after the Civil War and there were issues with regard to****imilation and culture there.  While quite-certainly not all blacks were violent monsters enough of them were that without stomping on that society would be faced with a feral future incompatible with technological and social progress

Full text:

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=255440 

An Explanation for Declining Fertility - Vox Popoli

 The collapse of the Selective Turnover Coefficient (d) from the ancient hominin baseline of 0.86 down to a modern level of 0.015 represents the functional shutdown of natural selection’s primary mechanism for the human race. For hundreds of thousands of years, high mortality rates before reproductive age served as an unyielding purifying filter, culling highly deleterious mutations and maintaining the structural integrity of our species’ code. By effectively reducing this mortality barrier by over 99% through modern sanitation, medicine, and infrastructure, humanity has unplugged its biological safety valve. Without this selective cleansing, the human genome is now entirely defenseless against a relentless, generation-by-generation influx of genetic errors, transforming our collective gene pool into a one-way accumulation sink for deleterious mutations.......

https://voxday.net/2026/05/19/an-explanation-for-declining-fertility/ 

.....This says nothing about the various environmental and lifestyle factors, such as highly-processed diets to endocrine disruptors like microplastics, that tend to dominate contemporary public health discussions. Within this framework, these external stressors do not compete with the genetic calculation; they represent an entirely separate, compounding layer of physiological risk. Nor should this be confused with overpopulation, mouse utopia, feminism, or female education, all of which affect the rate at which women choose to have children, not their raw ability to do so.

This 15-to-19 percent calculated degradation is a structural floor calculated solely on the mathematical basis of the collapse of d, meaning any negative impacts from modern chemistry or lifestyle only serve to further aggravate a species reproductive engine that is already operating less efficiently than before due to an unselected genetic load.

If you want to learn more about this, the science is developed in THE FROZEN GENE.

The Turning Point - Vox Popoli

 As I’ve been pointing out for the last few years now, the USA is no longer a global superpower. It’s now been demoted to major regional power, which is very far from nothing, but its pretensions at pursuing elite interests in the name of playing global policeman are observably over:

Last week’s Trump-Xi summit produced no dramatic declaration or historic treaty – yet its importance may prove far greater than any immediate deliverable. What happened in Beijing was not a breakthrough in policy but a breakthrough in recognition: the United States openly acknowledged China as an equal center of global power. That alone marks a historic turning point......

https://voxday.net/2026/05/19/the-turning-point/ 

....For years, the Americans described China as a revisionist actor seeking to overturn the international order. But the Beijing summit demonstrated something more consequential: the international order itself is already changing. Many countries have begun treating China not merely as a competitor to the US, but as a parallel – and in some respects superior – center of global gravity.

The post-WWII international order is now over. Clown World is still scrambling to control what it can, but it is in disarray. Which means these will continue to be interesting and tumultuous times.

Requiem for a Navy Corpsman - by Larry C Johnson

 Since 2001, the United States has lost more than 140,000 veterans to suicide — more than the total American combat deaths in every war since Vietnam combined. Between 6,000 and 6,700 veterans have died by suicide every single year since the War on Terror began, and the VA’s most recent annual report documents an average of 17.6 veteran deaths by suicide every day. Some researchers believe even that devastating figure is understated: America’s Warrior Partnership estimates the true number may be closer to 24 veterans per day when accounting for underreporting, with an additional 20 dying daily from “self-injury mortality” such as overdoses — a combined total roughly 2.4 times higher than the VA’s official count. By 2022, three-quarters of veteran suicides involved firearms, the highest proportion in over 20 years, meaning an average of 13 of the roughly 18 veterans dying by suicide each day were dying by gunshot.

Full text:

https://larrycjohnson.substack.com/p/requiem-for-a-navy-corpsman?publication_id=1225061&utm_campaign=email-post-title&r=y7h5a&utm_medium=email 

Is the Republic Falling — With a Sudden Collapse in Our Future? - LewRockwell

 “A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover that they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury,” goes the famous apocryphal warning. “From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates who promise the most benefits….” The result of this “is that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy.” This is then “always followed by a dictatorship.”

The warning also holds that the “average age of the world’s greatest civilizations” has historically “been about 200 years.” Given that the United States is now 250 years old and $39-trillion fiscally loose, what should be said about her?

Commentator and ex-State Department official Ron MacCammon has his answer. “Our republic is falling gradually,” he wrote earlier this week. “Total collapse will be sudden.”

.....MacCammon says that the United States’ problem is, essentially, “the tragedy of the commons.” That is, when “people pursue short-term interests at a shared resource’s expense, they eventually destroy it for everyone,” he explains. “Fisheries collapse this way. Pastures go barren. And right now, something similar is happening to the American republic.” For when everyone is responsible, no one is responsible.

“What’s being depleted isn’t land or water,” MacCammon continues. “The constitutional ecosystem — the institutional integrity, fiscal discipline, and civic trust that make American self-governance possible — is what’s running dry.”

https://www.lewrockwell.com/2026/05/no_author/is-the-republic-falling-with-a-sudden-collapse-in-our-future/ 

Put simply, people don’t feel obligated to do as much for strangers as for their family — or their national family.

A Substack writer named Kari Stark recounted a story, from her time in Minnesota, that well illustrated both immigration-related phenomena. It involved a conversation with a Somali “friend” — an exchange that moved her “to the right.” After mentioning to the individual that lying for political gain is short-sighted, he replied, “Why would I care about that? They’re not my tribe. Those are your rules, not ours.”

The bottom line is that profligate spending reflects a lack of virtue. Given this, something else John Adams expressed explains the problem. “Public virtue cannot exist in a nation without private,” he wrote, “and public virtue is the only foundation of republics.”

It is not, though, the only foundation of failing ones.

The Gatekeeper's Confession - Vox Popoli

 Fake science is not the problem with AI. As I pointed out in HARDCODED, the real problem AI is that it is producing real, genuine information that is useful, relevant, and impossible for the science gatekeepers to hide from the world:

Announcing an AI paper writing assistant earlier this year, OpenAI’s then-vice president for science, Kevin Weil, predicted, “I think 2026 will be for AI and science what 2025 was for AI and software engineering.” Spick and some colleagues, curious what it could do, gave the tool, called Prism, some data from an already published paper documenting ripening times of eggplants and peppers. Prism analyzed the data, proposed a new statistical method that could be applied to it, and wrote an entire paper complete with charts and correct citations.

“We were all looking at each other like, ‘What the [expletive], this is actually a decent piece of work!’”

https://voxday.net/2026/05/18/the-gatekeepers-confession/ 

...“Science is supposed to be the filter.”

That’s the gatekeeper’s confession. And clearly one of their responses is going to be hardcoding the AI models to defend their scientific orthodoxy, as I chronicled this weekend on AI Central......

.....Most revealingly, 4.7 Adaptive never once performed its own calculations. It never produced a set of numbers under its preferred assumptions showing the shortfall closing. It attacked the paper’s arithmetic without ever putting competing arithmetic on the table — the purest possible expression of the Bluff Detection pattern.

While 4.7 is still functional without Adaptive mode turned on, I’ve gone back to using 4.6, both for fiction and for science. We’ve now reached the point where the AI company’s are observably locking down their public releases in order to prevent their models from punching through the narratives.