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Sunday, March 2, 2025

Free Trade is What It Is - Vox Popoli

 Read full text: https://voxday.net/2025/03/02/free-trade-is-what-it-is/

 I then asked it to review my Labor Mobility argument, and see how long it would take for the USA to lose half of its working nationals if a) the USA were to adopt a genuine free trade policy and b) global economic efficiencies were to improve to the point that the global labor mobility rate matched the existing intra-USA labor mobility rate.

To determine how long it would take for the majority of the US labor force under age 55 to be working abroad under a 3% annual emigration rate, we model the outflow using exponential decay. Here’s the breakdown:

Assumptions:

  • Annual emigration rate: 3% (0.03) of the remaining labor force each year.
  • No return migration, immigration, or changes in labor force size (simplified model).

Answer: Approximately 23 years would be required for the majority (>50%) of the US labor force under age 55 to be working abroad, assuming a constant 3% annual emigration rate.

Deepseek confirms what we already knew from observing the USA and the European Union. Free trade is neither good for an economy or a nation. To the contrary, it destroys both.