Thursday, July 13, 2017

The Paris Accords: Beyond Mostly Dead - Gary North

It is time for checking the pockets. Donald Trump killed the whole deal by pulling out.
THE G-20
The G-20 is a twice-annual public relations festival of photo opportunities where heads of state get to let voters back home know how important they are.
The only problem is, the G-20 meetings are not important. Nothing ever comes out of them that changes anything.
The G-20 always ends with a series of pronouncements. These pronouncements carry no weight. No money is transferred. No sanctions are imposed. The G-20 is toothless.
This year, Trump buried it by pulling out of the Paris Accords, a really big PR stunt by the impotent United Nations. In response to Trump's decision, the G-20 announced:
The Leaders of the other G20 members state that the Paris Agreement is irreversible. We reiterate the importance of fulfilling the UNFCCC commitment by developed countries in providing means of implementation including financial resources to assist developing countries with respect to both mitigation and adaptation actions in line with Paris outcomes and note the OECD’s report “Investing in Climate, Investing in Growth”. We reaffirm our strong commitment to the Paris Agreement, moving swiftly towards its full implementation in accordance with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances and, to this end, we agree to the G20 Hamburg Climate and Energy Action Plan for Growth as set out in the Annex.
Without the United States in the agreement, it is dead in the water. The United States government has no intention of enforcing anything, or even acknowledging the legitimacy of the criteria, and the Paris Accords are as impotent as the United Nations, and the whole world knows it.
This is why it is so amusing that the G-20 bureaucrats thought it was important to get the politicians to sign this announcement. The bureaucrats do not perceive that the obvious impotence of the Paris Accords make the following language political theater: "the Paris Agreement is irreversible." What in fact is irreversible is Donald Trump's decision to pull the plug on the whole stunt.
There is no way for them to come back 3 1/2 years down the road and tell the public that the Paris Accords are just as important in 2021 as they were in 2017. If nothing's happened in the interim, there really is not anything to worry about. In fact, there is not anything to worry about. But a three half-year delay reminds the public that all the hoopla about the necessity of the Paris Accords was political balderdash. Nothing happened between 2017 and 2021.
The Paris Accords had no teeth. Trump has now made this clear to the whole world. He has put the whole project on hold, and nothing bad has happened. Nothing bad will happen. No apocalyptic scenario is going to come true.
The global warmers desperately wanted some kind of official sanction for the legitimacy of the global warming scenario. Now the largest nation in the West has opted out. What is the warmers' fallback position now?
It is clear that Trump is not going to promote any kind of foreign aid program based on global warming. Yet that was a big part of the whole stunt.
A Republican Congress is not going to force Trump to send hundreds of millions of global warming dollars to the political basket cases known as the Third World. The Democrats, should they come into power in 2019, can write any bill that they want, but Trump will veto it.
Trump has made it clear to politicians of the West that their agenda with respect to global warming is in the freezer until he is out of office. They are trying to breathe new life into the corpse, but it isn't working.
The Paris Accords are all dead, not mostly dead.