QUESTION: Hi Marty,
we just saw the German elections play out. For Germany, this is a huge move to the left – at least in government. They also say that Europe will be strongly supported. I guess that means shoveling money to Brussels and raising it via more and more taxes. Now, I researched everything you wrote about the ride of the right-wing parties in Europe and the separatist movements. I would be interested in your thought on how this plays out. E.g. Germany with its left-wing government. It rather seems to be the case that government will become more and more left-wing. Just as in the Weimar Republic. So I do not think that a right-wing could have enough political force to take power, also since Antifa is MUCH more violent and also more powerful than the right. Politicians blame the right for many things, violent events etc, while in fact, it is a rather docile movement with very little power and if so, only in the hands of individuals who do hardly organize since it really is the promotion of individualism vs group-think (left) and group movements. So from a logical standpoint, it seems rather likely to have the socialist agenda gain power. I know you say it is coming to an end. I trust you are correct. Socialism does not work and people might notice at some point. But it seems to be in a quite distant future still. Could you elaborate on that? Will Immigration finally win and move Europe and Germany into a new societal form? Finally, the European left-wingers are actually importing authoritarianism. Which very ironic since they probably think they are importing voters.
we just saw the German elections play out. For Germany, this is a huge move to the left – at least in government. They also say that Europe will be strongly supported. I guess that means shoveling money to Brussels and raising it via more and more taxes. Now, I researched everything you wrote about the ride of the right-wing parties in Europe and the separatist movements. I would be interested in your thought on how this plays out. E.g. Germany with its left-wing government. It rather seems to be the case that government will become more and more left-wing. Just as in the Weimar Republic. So I do not think that a right-wing could have enough political force to take power, also since Antifa is MUCH more violent and also more powerful than the right. Politicians blame the right for many things, violent events etc, while in fact, it is a rather docile movement with very little power and if so, only in the hands of individuals who do hardly organize since it really is the promotion of individualism vs group-think (left) and group movements. So from a logical standpoint, it seems rather likely to have the socialist agenda gain power. I know you say it is coming to an end. I trust you are correct. Socialism does not work and people might notice at some point. But it seems to be in a quite distant future still. Could you elaborate on that? Will Immigration finally win and move Europe and Germany into a new societal form? Finally, the European left-wingers are actually importing authoritarianism. Which very ironic since they probably think they are importing voters.
Thanks, Marty.
Best, SP.
ANSWER: Oh yes. I do not think most people
outside of Germany understand that. Merkel lost control. To keep power, she had
to create a Grand Coalition with the SPD, which has been the Northern
socialists with origins that go back to the Weimer Republic and the Communist
Revolution. The SPD took power for both they and the CDU of Merkel realized
that going back to the people would result in both parties losing even more
ground. This is highlighted particularly after the Italian election. I
have NEVER been asked for a meeting by anyone in the SPD. They have
always fundamentally been opponents of anything my computer has forecast. They
have NEVER been interested in what is economically best for the
people – they are only interested in imposing their will upon the people
because they do not see the same light they do.
Most people have no idea that Lenin was more of a dreamer who at
least thought he was benefiting the people. It was Lenin who warned not to
allow Stalin to take power after him. He said: “Comrade
Stalin, having become Secretary-General, has unlimited authority concentrated
in his hands, and I am not sure whether he will always be capable of using that
authority with sufficient caution.” Stalin did everything he
could to take power. This has been the curse of the left. They see themselves
in a war against the producers and whatever action they take, it is always for
the good of the people. This attitude marks the left who always seek to
subjugate the right. They never believe in human rights other than their own
and have historically always taken an authoritarian position painting
themselves as the victim being exploited by the right. The official state
records showed that Stalin killed about 2.9 million people. However, this does
not include those who died from famine in places like Ukraine for example,
which stand at about 7 to 10 million. In Ukrainian, they coined a term for what
Stain did – Holodomor (Голодомо́р) meaning “to kill by
starvation” has remained at the core of why Ukrainians want independence from
Russia.
When you look around the globe, what you see is a rising intense
fight building between the left v right, i.e. Thieves v Producers in
terms of Ann Rand. Simultaneously, we are witnessing the rise of separatism. We
see this everywhere. We see in Europe Scotland, Catalonia, Bavaria, Sicily and
others. Even in Canada, I wrote about the move of Alberta to secede from
Canada. British Columbia is left-wing and environmentalists so they are
blocking a pipeline from Alberta through their province. What you see is a
trade war within Canada between two provinces. In Germany, we see this
sentiment starting to rise in Bavaria which has long retained an underlying
sense of nationalism ever since Bavaria was incorporated into the state of
Germany in 1871. The old Bavarian palace of the Monarch remains a symbol of
Bavarian Nationalism. I remember being in Bavaria when they were celebrating
winning the war over the Prussians in the north.
The origins of the rise of
Bavarian nationalism as a strong political movement emerged from the
Austro-Prussian War and its aftermath. Bavaria had always been both politically
and culturally closer to Catholic Austria than Protestant Prussia. We see the
similar religious strains in Britain as we do in Germany – Protestants in the
North v Catholics in the South. Martin Luther nailed his Ninety-five
Theses to the church door at Wittenberg. The Bavarians shared
with the Austrians a common contempt towards the Prussians, leading Bavaria to
ally with Austria in the war.
After World War I, in 1923, Bavarian monarchists of the Bavarian
People’s Party attempted to seize control of the Bavarian government and
declare Bavaria independent of Germany and the Weimar Republic restoring the
Bavarian monarchy wherein 1918 the north wanted a Communist Revolution and even
asked Russia to come take Germany. This Bavarian separatist coup attempt was
then preempted by the then-small Nazi Party which itself attempted to take over
the Bavarian government. Bavarian nationalists and the Nazi Party competed for
a support base. Finally, the 1932 election saw the Nazi Party won a major
victory nationally, yet the Nazis did not surpass the Catholic Bavarian
People’s Party in southern Bavaria. The Nazis won only the Protestant areas of
northern Bavaria. The underlying resentment remains deep in the heart of
Bavaria.
In 2013, the Bavaria Party still won 2.1% of the total vote in
state elections so they have not faded away. Top officials in the Bavarian
sister party of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives have warned the
center-left Social Democrats (SPD) that failure to stick to agreements on
migrants could cause the collapse of the potential new German government. Once
more, we still see the tensions between Bavaria v the North. Merkel’s Christian
Democratic Union (CDU) needs the Christian Social Union (CSU) of Bavaria to
even rule. The CSU was formerly the most right-wing party in Germany. But its
rubber-stamp of Merkel and the open-door policy to refugees cost them dearly.
The AfD won 19.17% of the popular vote in the September 24th, 2017 national
election. This was the highest level of support in the former West German
states.
Here we have a rising new
party, Alternative for Deutschland (AfD), which really began
in the East and took 12.6% of the national vote. Once again, we see the inner
tension between the socialists (SPD) of the North and their quest to forcibly
impose their will upon the South. This is the tension of centuries that goes
back to the Prussian v Bavaria confrontations that began
in religion.
The left will make a major stand to seize control globally. They
will be VERY OPPRESSIVE and this is what will end
up destroying the West as we see the economic epic center move to Asia with
China becoming the dominant financial capital of the world.
World economic growth (GDP) peaked in 1973. We are looking
for the final low to form during 2035.8. The next low will be in 2025 and this
will be a Cycle Inversion from a high producing a
low. However, you can easily see from this chart of world GDP, socialism is
dying. The Pension Crisis will be a major event and the failure
of that system will spark not just civil unrest, but the left assaulting the
right. The left will look to plunder the wealth of the right and justify it in
their minds as they are entitled to this because the right got rich by
exploiting the left. This may become excessive between 2029 and 2032.
When Rome turned against the producers under Maximinus, this
is what really began to destroy the Roman Empire. Informants were rewarded to
turn in anyone with assets they believed was hoarding wealth. They turned
everyone against everyone else and that broke the bonds of civilization. Even
after Maximinus was killed by his own troops and his head was sent to the Roman
Senate, capital investment NEVER returned.
The producers began to invest less and continued to hoard more. Confidence was
simply lost and people did not trust one another anymore.
This is simply how human nature responds given the same set of
circumstances. The more the left seeks to raise taxes and punish the producers,
the greater the producers will hoard and not invest and we will see a continued
decline in economic growth rates. We can see that we really cannot get world
GDP above the 3% level. The decline post-2007 has been profound and 10 years
of Quantitative Easing has only caused wealth to
contract. Negative interest rates sparked more hoarding of cash even among the
middle class.
Draghi is holding on for dear life. He has no prayer in hell to
restore the economy of Europe. All he has done is kept the governments on
life-support. When they cannot sell their bonds, they will raise taxes
drastically to try to stay afloat. This is how history repeats. The same
circumstances will emerge, but like a Shakespeare play, it can be acted out
over the centuries with the only change being the actors.
