Saturday, November 27, 2021

Only Two Things Are Infinite.... - by Karl Denninger

 .. the universe and human stupidity.

And I'm not certain about the former. -- Einstein.

In response to a "new variant" of Covid-19, which has  now been named Omicron the world has suddenly gone mad -- once again.  Travel lockdowns, constraints, etc.  The stock market collapsed by over 900 DOW points (which many years ago would be called a "crash"; these days its just a bad day.)

Contemplate these facts:

  • This "variant" has been found all over the world already.  Therefore its already everywhere.  Locking down travel after it is already in your nation is stupid and does nothing.  The variant is either going to become dominant or it will not. You cannot alter that course once it gets to you -- and no matter where you are it already has.

  • This "variant" has no evidence of being more-deadly; it may in fact be less-so.  Indeed that is the natural mutational pattern coronaviruses follow over time.  There is no evidence in the form, for example, of higher hospital admissions, ICU utilization and death in those in which this variant has been detected.  In other words thus far all the scaremongering has been based on..... exactly nothing as there are no facts currently in evidence to support such fear.

  • The vaccines clearly do not work.  International travel has been vaccinated-only everywhere for quite some time.  So the person(s) who brought the virus into your nation with this "variant" were vaccinated.  The market, of course, responded to this news by spiking the vaccine companies, specifically Moderna.  You have to wonder what sort of stupidity would drive someone to consider a firm that has one product which clearly did not work a "buy" in a situation like this.  Mass psychosis is the only reasonable explanation.

  • Lockdowns and constraints clearly do not work either.  The virus mutated because that's what viruses do, and specifically coronaviruses do this all the time.  It's common.  Further, vaccinating into an outbreak promotes vaccine-resistant strains because that's just how natural selection works.  You want the opposite but you can't get there from here by vaccinating people while an outbreak is going on so the better option is to focus on early treatments and even prophylaxis which does not place immune pressure on the virus to evade your jabs.

  • Meanwhile we the evidence continues to mount that prior infection confers better resistance than vaccines.  Perfect immunity?  No.  But much better immunity and, to three nines, perfect protection against critical illness and death.

There were no cases of critical disease at reinfection and 28 cases at primary infection (Table S3), for an odds ratio of 0.00 (95% CI, 0.00 to 0.64). There were no cases of death from Covid-19 at reinfection and 7 cases at primary infection resulting in an odds ratio of 0.00...

So which do you prefer, since while the jabs do appear to provide some protection it wanes and it certainly does not prevent 100% of the severe and fatal outcomes.

Never mind the jab side effect profiles, which are quite dangerous, the evidence is mounting that the intermediate and long-term dangers are very significant and, in addition, there is mounting evidence that if you get jabbed and then are infected, and you will get infected, you are likely to not build "N" protein recognition so you can get infected again and again until you get the bad case that screws you.  This is due to a well-recognized phenomena called "OAS" ("Original Antigenic Sin") and is directly caused by the vaccines as they "train" your body to produce "S" antibodies, which is all they contain coding for and not "N" protein antibodies which are critical as the virus cannot mutate in that part to any material degree and remain a viable virus.

On the other hand the evidence is that beating the disease without a jab once means you have durable protection against critical and fatal outcomes on an extremely reliable basis including potential mutations since the "N" protein does not and cannot undergo substantial change.

The latter, by the way, is the pattern for every serious viral disease outbreak through history.

I don't need some jackass on TV to tell me this, I merely need to look around me and note that there are lots of other human beings on the planet.  Were this not the case 100% of the time we would not exist as some prior viral outbreak would have circulated and reinfected people relentlessly until all human beings were dead.  That has never happened and there is a few thousand years of written, recorded history plus hundreds of thousands of years of additional evidence supporting it yet we also know that every decade or two a significant viral pandemic shows up somewhere and circulates through the human population no matter what you try to do to stop it.  Even the most-isolated islands during the 1918 flu pandemic eventually got infected and had to deal with it.  If you can't keep a viral pandemic out when you're surrounded by hundreds of miles of ocean and there are no airplanes you will fail trying to keep it out in a connected, travel and commerce-rich world which, I remind you, we live in.

Never mind that with vaccines we have more Covid-19 deaths this year than last.  How is that possible if the jabs work?  Yes, not everyone has gotten them.  So what?  There should be a more than ratable decrease with vaccinated population percentage since we know the most at-risk were the most-likely to get the vaccines the earliest and thus if they prevented critical and fatal outcomes those vaccinated should be zero and zero when it comes to such outcomes.  If the virus kills 0.1% of the people who get it but the people who can get it are 200 million instead of 330 million because the rest have been vaccinated and are immune then the death count should drop by much more than a third since the most-vulnerable got jabbed first. 

Instead the death count went up.

Across sample sizes of hundreds of millions of people this is extraordinarily strong, indeed irrefutable evidence that the net societal impact of the vaccines is negative.  The exact reason why is immaterial; dead is dead.

It is crystal-clear to anyone who can think at all that on a net societal basis the jabs do not work, just as masks did not work.  We knew scientifically that masks did not work in 1981, as I've pointed out repeatedly, and that was with all persons involved being trained professionals in an operating room, a sterile place where you have reasonable control of outside confounding things.  In other words in the best possible environment for masks, where they damn well should work if they're going to work anywhere, they did not. There has not been one nation, state or region that has been able to demonstrate over the last 18+ months that they work either, which should not surprise since we knew they were at best worthless forty years ago.

When the first jackass started with that crap we should have put this sign up everywhere since masks were at best performative art and likely caused people to believe they were safe when in fact they were not, which is akin to intentionally handing someone a loaded gun and telling them its empty.

How about Fauci?  He told everyone decades ago that millions of children were going to get and die of AIDS contracted by close ordinary family contact from their parents.  He was 100% full of crap; it simply did not happen.  The facts are that the odds of contracting HIV from other than direct contamination into the bloodstream is, statistically-speaking, zero.  He told everyone at the time that AZT was the answer to AIDS and that was bull**** as well; AZT never saved a single person from AIDS and worse, it in fact destroyed the immune system itself and caused enhancement of disease over time.  Fauci told AIDS sufferers and their doctors not to use Bactrim, a cheap off-patent pair of antibiotics, as prophylaxis against PCP, a bacterial pneumonia that was killing AIDS patients with damaged immune systems by the score, despite knowing since the late 1970s that it worked to prevent PCP in Leukemia patients who, like AIDS patients, had wrecked immune systems.  Roughly thirty thousand Americans were shoved in the hole due to PCP infections during the years in which Fauci maintained that it should NOT be used.

Today nobody cares about that which we've scientifically demonstrated decades earlier, nor anyone's record.  Shoving 30,000 Americans into the hole by intentionally withholding a drug from them that we had every reason to believe would work is simply forgotten; nobody ever has had to answer for any of those dead bodies.  Note that not one so-called "interviewer" has demanded Fauci account for that, or force him to explain why we should put up with his bull**** rather than eat him and every person and family member of anyone working at the NIH given his proved record of being completely full of crap the last time around and his being prime driver of the fear porn this time as well.

Some vaccines are clearly effective and have a reasonable safety profile.  MMR is one of them.  100% safe, no.  No pharmaceutical is 100% safe.  But it is clearly safer than the measles and, unlike the Covid jabs, it actually produces sterile immunity; you neither get the measles nor can you pass it on to others if you've been vaccinated.

Measles is a reasonably-stable virus, however, and we have decades of experience backing this up.  Coronaviruses are not stable.  They mutate all the time and every single attempt to vaccinate against them in the past has failed to provide stable, durable and safe immunity.

Only infection has ever conferred critical and fatal outcome protection with coronaviruses through history.  There are no exceptions.  Not only have all previous attempts ended in failure several have resulted in vaccine-enhanced disease ripping through the vaccinated test subjects on re-challenge with several of those trials ending in the death of all or nearly all test subjects -- which were fortunately animals and not humans.  This time around we have performed a mass experiment with zero evidence over a period of years to demonstrate that what has happened 100% of the time in the past will not happen again.

It appears we're losing that bet -- a loss that, on the basis of history, we had every reason to believe would happen and yet instead of every single firm manufacturing this crap being an instant zero several are being rewarded.  What the hell sort of rampant, outrageous stupidity is that?

While the data is not yet in there is reason to believe, given the mutations described in this newest "variant", that the vaccinated may be ****ed as the mutations may confer full evasion and yet the binding antibodies you get from being jabbed are still there.  If that pans out here comes the exact same thing that has repeatedly happened with coronavirus vaccine attempts except this time we were dumb enough to mass-vaccinate humans rather than a handful of cats.

Note that on the evidence to date there is no reason to believe this "variant" is either more-dangerous or more transmissible.  SA had a surge in cases at the exact same time last year.  It's called "seasonality" and its real.  It's why we have a "flu season."  The confluence of mutations does raise questions though, including the possibility that our "best friends" are angling for the very scenario I put forward about a year ago -- which you'd better pray is wrong, by the way, although it'll be a while before we know.  Before you poo-poo this note that there are reports the closest match to any known sequenced Covid-19 virus date to April of 2020.  I have not yet personally verified this, but if its true then it is wildly improbable that an "in the wild" mutational pattern of this sort occuring by natural means would have escaped surveillance.

Incidentally if you got jabbed there's not a damn thing you can do about it if that turns out to be the case.

Oh, and no, contrary to somewhat-common scaremongering this variant does not appear to have originated in a bunch of unvaccinated HIV+ people in Botswana.  It appears, according to the authorities there, it appeared in travelers, which means it originated in vaccinated people since virtually every nation requires a vaccine to get on an international air flight.  Indeed the authorities confirm that the infected persons who had this variant detected were all fully vaccinated.

In other words exactly the immune evasion I and a few others expected to happen a year ago, and which I flagged as "in process" a few months ago based on some preliminary data from certain sub-sets of Delta infections, on the evidence available today now have have in fact happened and if it did it was CAUSED by the jabs.

Did you think Run-Death-Is-Near was bad?

If this goes sideways for the jabbed -- and it might, but I cannot at this time put a probability on it -- you ain't seen nothing yet.